Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba

Vasco DA Gama
5:0
Full Time · 19 Sep 2026
Coritiba

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 56.3% @1.48 — 67.8% -11.5 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 72% 72.4% @1.09 — 88% -15.6 pp ✅
BTTS No 80% 47.9% @1.78 — 52% -4.1 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.3% @2.01 — 47.8% +1.5 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.5% @6.00 — 7% +2.5 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 67% 57.3% @1.63 — 56.1% +1.2 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.31 – 1.00 Coritiba · expected total 2.31

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Vasco DA Gama

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Coritiba

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Vasco DA Gama

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Coritiba

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vasco DA Gama at home · Coritiba away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–3D–5L
W 7
D 3
L 5
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5

Coritiba (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–6L
W 5
D 4
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score6
Vasco DA Gama (home)Coritiba (away)
W 7
D 3
L 5
W 5
D 4
L 6
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.90
Clean sheets
3
4
Failed to score
5
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Coritiba 2 wins · 6 draws · Vasco DA Gama 2 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10

2
6
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Apr 2026 Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
21 Sep 2023 Vasco DA Gama 5–1 Coritiba Serie A
11 May 2023 Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
16 Oct 2021 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Coritiba Serie B
14 Jul 2021 Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama Serie B
17 Jan 2021 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Coritiba Serie A
20 Sep 2020 Coritiba 1–0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
21 Oct 2017 Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Coritiba Serie A
02 Jul 2017 Coritiba 2–2 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
06 Dec 2015 Coritiba 0–0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Vasco DA Gama

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Remo Home 0–0 D
07/10 Botafogo Away 2–1 W
19/09 Coritiba Home 5–0 W
15/09 Santa Fe Home 2–0 W
12/09 Gremio Away 2–1 W

Coritiba

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Fluminense Away 0–4 L
19/09 Vasco DA Gama Away 0–5 L
12/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–3 D
06/09 Mirassol Home 1–2 L
31/08 Remo Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Vasco DA Gama #14 · 35 pts —  Coritiba #10 · 38 pts

Vasco DA Gama

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–8D–12L
W 9
D 8
L 12
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score9
Yellow cards57
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.63
xG against (avg)0.36
Corners for (avg)6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Coritiba

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–8D–11L
W 10
D 8
L 11
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets6
Failed to score9
Yellow cards48
Red cards8
xG for (avg)0.43
xG against (avg)1.78
Corners for (avg)4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Vasco DA GamaCoritiba
W 9
D 8
L 12
W 10
D 8
L 11
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.60
Clean sheets
4
6
Failed to score
9
9
Yellow cards
57
48
Red cards
2
8
xG for (avg)
1.63
0.43
xG against (avg)
0.36
1.78
Corners for (avg)
6.70
4.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vasco DA Gama

4
0-15
1
5
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
9
46-60
8
8
61-75
6
9
76-90
13
scored conceded

Coritiba

4
0-15
2
8
16-30
4
4
31-45
8
8
46-60
8
13
61-75
7
11
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Vasco DA Gama

  • ❌ Brenner — Inactive
  • ❌ M. Hinestroza — Inactive
  • ❌ Jair — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Paulo Henrique — Inactive
  • ❌ Cuiabano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hugo Moura — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Cuesta — Inactive
  • ❌ Mateus Carvalho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Cauan Barros — Red Card
  • ❌ Andres Gomez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ J. Rodriguez — Inactive
  • ❌ C. Spinelli — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Saldivia — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Adson — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Rojas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ N. Moreira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Robert Renan — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Tche Tche — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Bruno Duarte — Injury

Coritiba

  • ❌ Lucas Crepaldi — Inactive
  • ❌ Rodrigo Rodrigues — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Josue — Red Card
  • ❌ Wallisson — Inactive
  • ❌ Benassi — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Gomez — Inactive
  • ❌ Pedro Morisco — Injury
  • ❌ Tinga — Injury
  • ❌ Jacy — Injury
  • ❌ Maicon — Red Card
  • ❌ Keno — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Lavega — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gustavo — Injury
  • ❌ Renato Marques — Red Card
  • ❌ Breno Lopes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Bruno Melo — Red Card
  • ❌ Fabinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Keiller — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Thiago Santos — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Joao Pedro Chermont — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Lucas Ronier — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vini Paulista — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Pedro Rangel — Inactive
  • ❌ B. Ocampo — Injury
  • ❌ Lucas Taverna — Inactive
  • ❓ Tiago Coser (doubtful) — Inactive

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