Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Santos vs Cruzeiro

Santos
2:1
Full Time · 13 Sep 2026
Cruzeiro

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 44.5% @2.82 — 34.4% +10.1 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 74% 75.5% @1.53 — 61.7% +13.8 pp ✅
BTTS No 81% 48.8% @2.16 — 42.9% +5.9 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.1% @2.03 — 47.7% +4.4 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 68% 10.1% @9.50 — 4.5% +5.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 60% 51.4% @1.88 — 50.3% +1.1 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Santos 1.39 – 0.93 Cruzeiro · expected total 2.32

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Santos

Unbeaten 8
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Cruzeiro

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Santos

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Cruzeiro

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Santos at home · Cruzeiro away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Santos (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–5D–4L
W 6
D 5
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2

Cruzeiro (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–6L
W 6
D 2
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Santos (home)Cruzeiro (away)
W 6
D 5
L 4
W 6
D 2
L 6
Played
15
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.70
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Cruzeiro 5 wins · 1 draw · Santos 3 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9

5
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Mar 2026 Cruzeiro 0–0 Santos Serie A
07 Dec 2025 Santos 3–0 Cruzeiro Serie A
10 Aug 2025 Cruzeiro 1–2 Santos Serie A
14 Sep 2023 Santos 0–3 Cruzeiro Serie A
06 May 2023 Cruzeiro 2–1 Santos Serie A
24 Nov 2019 Santos 4–1 Cruzeiro Serie A
18 Aug 2019 Cruzeiro 2–0 Santos Serie A
23 Sep 2018 Cruzeiro 2–1 Santos Serie A
01 Aug 2018 Santos 0–1 Cruzeiro Copa Do Brasil

📈 Recent Form

Santos

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Flamengo Home 2–2 D
02/10 Sao Paulo Away 2–1 W
19/09 Remo Away 2–1 W
13/09 Cruzeiro Home 2–1 W
09/09 Atletico-MG Home 2–0 W

Cruzeiro

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
20/09 Vitoria Away 3–1 W
13/09 Santos Away 1–2 L
06/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–1 W
02/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Santos #8 · 42 pts —  Cruzeiro #5 · 48 pts

Santos

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–9D–10L
W 11
D 9
L 10
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score3
Yellow cards88
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.68
xG against (avg)0.60
Corners for (avg)6.30
Penalties (scored/missed)8/0

Cruzeiro

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–6D–9L
W 14
D 6
L 9
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards72
Red cards3
xG for (avg)1.07
xG against (avg)1.12
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1
SantosCruzeiro
W 11
D 9
L 10
W 14
D 6
L 9
Played
30
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.40
Clean sheets
6
6
Failed to score
3
4
Yellow cards
88
72
Red cards
4
3
xG for (avg)
0.68
1.07
xG against (avg)
0.60
1.12
Corners for (avg)
6.30
3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
8/0
4/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Santos

3
0-15
2
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
6
5
46-60
13
8
61-75
6
12
76-90
11
scored conceded

Cruzeiro

6
0-15
5
6
16-30
5
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
7
2
61-75
8
10
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Santos

  • ❌ A. Frias — Inactive
  • ❌ Mayke — Inactive
  • ❌ Neymar — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Thaciano — Inactive
  • ❌ Tiquinho Soares — Inactive
  • ❌ Willian Arao — Inactive
  • ❌ Gustavo Henrique — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ A. Duarte — Inactive
  • ❌ Gabriel Barbosa — Inactive
  • ❌ Ze Rafael — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Peres — Red Card
  • ❌ Vinicius Lira — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Diaz — Loan agreement
  • ❌ Gabriel Menino — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Rodrigo Falcao — Injury
  • ❌ Igor Vinicius — Inactive
  • ❌ Rony — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Barreal — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Escobar — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ T. Rincon — Health problems
  • ❌ Gabriel Brazao — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Schmidt — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ B. Rollheiser — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Moises — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Verissimo — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Pepe Fermino — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Gabriel Bontempo — Injury
  • ❌ Coutinho — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ Everton — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Melo — Muscle Injury

Cruzeiro

  • ❌ Marquinhos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Cunha — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Sinisterra — Injury
  • ❌ Chico — Injury
  • ❌ Jonathan Jesus — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Moraes — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Rodrigues — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Jorge — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Romero — Inactive
  • ❌ William Furtado — Red Card
  • ❌ Cassio — Injury
  • ❌ Gerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Marcelo — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fabricio Bruno — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fagner — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Silva — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ N. Villarreal — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Prates — Inactive
  • ❌ K. Arroyo — Red Card
  • ❌ Kaiki — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheus Henrique — Health problems
  • ❌ Gabriel Pec — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Wanderson — Inactive
  • ❌ Kenji — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Aragao — Muscle Injury
  • ❓ L. Villalba (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

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