Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro

2:0

Full Time · 08 Oct 2026

Sao Paulo

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

Market	Tip	Confidence	Probability	Odds	Bookmaker	Market implied	Edge	Result
Match Result (1X2)	Home	83%	54.6%	@1.94	—	53.7%	+0.9 pp	✅
Double Chance	1X	76%	78.3%	@1.22	—	79.7%	-1.4 pp	✅
BTTS	No	81%	50%	@1.95	—	49%	+1 pp	✅
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	83%	53.3%	@1.88	—	51.7%	+1.6 pp	✅
Correct Score	1-0	71%	11.9%	@7.00	—	7.1%	+4.8 pp	❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.)	Over 9.5	61%	52.5%	@1.87	—	52.2%	+0.3 pp	✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Cruzeiro 1.46 – 0.77 Sao Paulo · expected total 2.23

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Cruzeiro

Won 2 in a row

BTTS

5/6

Over 2.5

5/6

Scored

6/6

Clean sheets

1/6

Sao Paulo

BTTS

3/6

Over 2.5

2/6

Scored

4/6

Clean sheets

1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Cruzeiro

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Sao Paulo

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Cruzeiro at home · Sao Paulo away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Cruzeiro (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–4D–3L

W 8

D 4

L 3

Played15

Goals scored (avg)1.70

Goals conceded (avg)1.10

Clean sheets4

Failed to score2

Sao Paulo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–10L

W 2

D 3

L 10

Played15

Goals scored (avg)0.70

Goals conceded (avg)1.50

Clean sheets1

Failed to score6

Cruzeiro (home)Sao Paulo (away)

W 8

D 4

L 3

W 2

D 3

L 10

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.70

0.70

Goals conceded (avg)

1.10

1.50

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Cruzeiro

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
08/10	Sao Paulo	Home	2–0	W
20/09	Vitoria	Away	3–1	W
13/09	Santos	Away	1–2	L
06/09	Atletico Paranaense	Home	3–1	W
02/09	Atletico-MG	Away	1–2	L

Sao Paulo

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
11/10	Vitoria	Home	2–1	W
08/10	Cruzeiro	Away	0–2	L
02/10	Santos	Home	1–2	L
20/09	Internacional	Home	1–0	W
16/09	Boca Juniors	Home	1–1	D

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Cruzeiro #6 · 48 pts — Sao Paulo #9 · 39 pts

Cruzeiro

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–6D–9L

W 14

D 6

L 9

Played29

Goals scored (avg)1.50

Goals conceded (avg)1.40

Clean sheets6

Failed to score4

Yellow cards72

Red cards3

xG for (avg)1.07

xG against (avg)1.12

Corners for (avg)3.20

Penalties (scored/missed)4/1

Sao Paulo

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–6D–13L

W 11

D 6

L 13

Played30

Goals scored (avg)1.20

Goals conceded (avg)1.20

Clean sheets6

Failed to score7

Yellow cards63

Red cards2

xG for (avg)0.25

xG against (avg)0.46

Corners for (avg)5.20

Penalties (scored/missed)6/0

CruzeiroSao Paulo

W 14

D 6

L 9

W 11

D 6

L 13

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.50

1.20

Goals conceded (avg)

1.40

1.20

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (avg)

1.07

0.25

xG against (avg)

1.12

0.46

Corners for (avg)

3.20

5.20

Penalties (scored/missed)

4/1

6/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Cruzeiro

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Sao Paulo

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Cruzeiro

❌ Marquinhos — Knee Injury
❌ Matheus Cunha — Inactive
❌ L. Sinisterra — Injury
❌ Chico — Injury
❌ Jonathan Jesus — Inactive
❌ Kaua Moraes — Inactive
❌ Bruno Rodrigues — Inactive
❌ Kaio Jorge — Inactive
❌ L. Romero — Inactive
❌ William Furtado — Red Card
❌ Cassio — Injury
❌ Gerson — Inactive
❌ Joao Marcelo — Inactive
❌ Matheus Pereira — Yellow Cards
❌ Fabricio Bruno — Yellow Cards
❌ Fagner — Inactive
❌ Lucas Silva — Yellow Cards
❌ N. Villarreal — Inactive
❌ Kaua Prates — Inactive
❌ K. Arroyo — Red Card
❌ Kaiki — Red Card
❌ Matheus Henrique — Health problems
❌ Gabriel Pec — Broken Leg
❌ Wanderson — Inactive
❌ Kenji — Yellow Cards
❌ Leo Aragao — Muscle Injury
❓ L. Villalba (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

Sao Paulo

❌ Andre Silva — Knee Injury
❌ Ryan Francisco — Knee Injury
❌ Alisson — Inactive
❌ Danielzinho — Inactive
❌ Lucca Marques — Inactive
❌ Lucas Ramon — Inactive
❌ Lucas Moura — Broken rib
❌ D. Bobadilla — International duty
❌ Carlos Coronel — Inactive
❌ E. Diaz — Yellow Cards
❌ A. Franco — Injury
❌ G. Tapia — International duty
❌ Paulinho — Inactive
❌ Jonathan Calleri — Contusion
❌ Luciano — Overload
❌ Pablo Maia — Face Injury
❌ Sabino — Overload
❌ Djhordney — Inactive
❌ Marcos Antonio — Injury
❌ R. Toloi — Yellow Cards
❌ Ferreira — Inactive
❌ Maik — Inactive
❌ Robert Arboleda — Inactive
❌ Cauly — Inactive
❌ Wendell — Yellow Cards
❌ Victor Sa — Inactive
❌ Luis Osorio — Red Card
❌ N. Bosshardt — Inactive
❌ Buta — Knee Injury
❌ D. Duarte — Knee Injury
❌ P. dos Santos — International duty
❌ Iago Borduchi — Inactive
❌ Rafael — Inactive

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws