Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro

Vitoria
1:3
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Cruzeiro

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 74% 36.7% @3.00 — 31.8% +4.9 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 70% 70.8% @1.60 — 58.8% +12 pp ❌
BTTS No 80% 46.9% @2.19 — 42.2% +4.7 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.4% @2.03 — 47.3% +1.1 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 66% 8.9% @10.00 — 4.3% +4.6 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 64% 28.6% @3.48 — 27% +1.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 70% 59.6% @1.98 — 46.2% +13.4 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Vitoria 1.29 – 1.05 Cruzeiro · expected total 2.34

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Vitoria

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Cruzeiro

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Vitoria

3rd best clean sheets (11)

Cruzeiro

2nd best BTTS rate (83%) 3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vitoria at home · Cruzeiro away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Vitoria (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–1D–4L
W 10
D 1
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets10
Failed to score3

Cruzeiro (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–6L
W 6
D 2
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Vitoria (home)Cruzeiro (away)
W 10
D 1
L 4
W 6
D 2
L 6
Played
15
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.70
Clean sheets
10
2
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Vitoria

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Chapecoense-sc Home 4–0 W
20/09 Cruzeiro Home 1–3 L
13/09 Mirassol Away 2–2 D
07/09 Gremio Home 1–0 W
03/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 0–2 L

Cruzeiro

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
20/09 Vitoria Away 3–1 W
13/09 Santos Away 1–2 L
06/09 Atletico Paranaense Home 3–1 W
02/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Vitoria #12 · 36 pts —  Cruzeiro #5 · 48 pts

Vitoria

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–6D–14L
W 10
D 6
L 14
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets11
Failed to score9
Yellow cards69
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.47
xG against (avg)0.53
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Cruzeiro

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–6D–9L
W 14
D 6
L 9
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards72
Red cards3
xG for (avg)1.07
xG against (avg)1.12
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1
VitoriaCruzeiro
W 10
D 6
L 14
W 14
D 6
L 9
Played
30
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.40
Clean sheets
11
6
Failed to score
9
4
Yellow cards
69
72
Red cards
3
3
xG for (avg)
0.47
1.07
xG against (avg)
0.53
1.12
Corners for (avg)
5.30
3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
4/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vitoria

2
0-15
3
4
16-30
8
10
31-45
3
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
11
76-90
5
scored conceded

Cruzeiro

6
0-15
5
6
16-30
5
7
31-45
8
8
46-60
7
2
61-75
8
10
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Vitoria

  • ❌ Claudinho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Edu — Inactive
  • ❌ Fintelman — Hip Injury
  • ❌ Kauan Vitor — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Arcanjo — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Ramos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lopez — Injury
  • ❌ H. Pedro — Injury
  • ❌ Dudu — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Candido — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri — Inactive
  • ❌ Jamerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Renato Kayzer — Inactive
  • ❌ Riccieli — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Baralhas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Emmanuel Martinez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Camutanga — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Edenilson — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheusinho — Injury
  • ❌ Fabricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Neris — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel — Inactive
  • ❌ Caca — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ramon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Anderson — Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Cantalapiedra — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Ze Vitor — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Caique Goncalves — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Walace — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fabiano — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Tarzia — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Marinho (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

Cruzeiro

  • ❌ Marquinhos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Cunha — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Sinisterra — Injury
  • ❌ Chico — Injury
  • ❌ Jonathan Jesus — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Moraes — Inactive
  • ❌ Bruno Rodrigues — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaio Jorge — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Romero — Inactive
  • ❌ William Furtado — Red Card
  • ❌ Cassio — Injury
  • ❌ Gerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Marcelo — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fabricio Bruno — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Fagner — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Silva — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ N. Villarreal — Inactive
  • ❌ Kaua Prates — Inactive
  • ❌ K. Arroyo — Red Card
  • ❌ Kaiki — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheus Henrique — Health problems
  • ❌ Gabriel Pec — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Wanderson — Inactive
  • ❌ Kenji — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Leo Aragao — Muscle Injury
  • ❓ L. Villalba (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws