Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo
1:0
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Fluminense

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 58.9% — — — — ✅
Double Chance 1X 77% 79.3% — — — — ✅
BTTS Yes 82% 51.9% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 50.3% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 1-0 67% 9.6% — — — — ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.1% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Flamengo 1.71 – 0.87 Fluminense · expected total 2.58

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Flamengo

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Fluminense

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Flamengo

Best attack (1.90 goals/game) 2nd best defence (0.80 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (13)

Fluminense

3rd best attack (1.60 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Flamengo at home · Fluminense away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Flamengo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–3D–1L
W 11
D 3
L 1
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets8
Failed to score1

Fluminense (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–6D–6L
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Flamengo (home)Fluminense (away)
W 11
D 3
L 1
W 3
D 6
L 6
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.50
Clean sheets
8
1
Failed to score
1
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Flamengo 4 wins · 2 draws · Fluminense 3 wins · avg 1.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9

4
2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 Apr 2026 Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo Serie A
25 Jan 2026 Fluminense 2–1 Flamengo Carioca - 1
20 Nov 2025 Fluminense 2–1 Flamengo Serie A
20 Jul 2025 Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense Serie A
16 Mar 2025 Flamengo 0–0 Fluminense Carioca - 1
13 Mar 2025 Fluminense 1–2 Flamengo Carioca - 1
08 Feb 2025 Fluminense 0–0 Flamengo Carioca - 1
17 Oct 2024 Flamengo 0–2 Fluminense Serie A
23 Jun 2024 Fluminense 0–1 Flamengo Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Flamengo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Fluminense Home 1–0 W
08/10 Santos Away 2–2 D
20/09 RB Bragantino Home 2–1 W
18/09 Independiente del Valle Home 1–1 D
13/09 Corinthians Home 2–1 W

Fluminense

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Flamengo Away 0–1 L
09/10 Coritiba Home 4–0 W
20/09 Corinthians Away 3–1 W
15/09 Platense Away 1–2 L
12/09 Atletico-MG Away 1–3 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Flamengo #1 · 64 pts —  Fluminense #3 · 51 pts

Flamengo

Wins–Draws–Losses19W–7D–4L
W 19
D 7
L 4
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets13
Failed to score2
Yellow cards64
Red cards7
xG for (avg)0.75
xG against (avg)0.11
Corners for (avg)7.10
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Fluminense

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–9D–7L
W 14
D 9
L 7
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards75
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.81
xG against (avg)1.09
Corners for (avg)1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
FlamengoFluminense
W 19
D 7
L 4
W 14
D 9
L 7
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.20
Clean sheets
13
6
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
64
75
Red cards
7
2
xG for (avg)
0.75
0.81
xG against (avg)
0.11
1.09
Corners for (avg)
7.10
1.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Flamengo

1
0-15
12
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
6
46-60
15
3
61-75
10
9
76-90
12
scored conceded

Fluminense

6
0-15
2
1
16-30
8
5
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
9
61-75
6
10
76-90
16
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Flamengo

  • ❌ Danilo — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Paqueta — Inactive
  • ❌ Luiz Araujo — Inactive
  • ❌ S. Niguez — Inactive
  • ❌ N. de la Cruz — Inactive
  • ❌ Jorginho — Red Card
  • ❌ G. Varela — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Bruno Henrique — Inactive
  • ❌ Leo Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Plata — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ E. Pulgar — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alex Sandro — Injury
  • ❌ Evertton Araujo — Red Card
  • ❌ Everton — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Carrascal — Red Card
  • ❌ G. de Arrascaeta — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Leo Ortiz — Injury
  • ❌ Vitao — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ J. Freitas — Inactive
  • ❌ A. Valencia — Inactive
  • ❌ Samuel Lino — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ayrton Lucas — Thigh Injury
  • ❓ Daniel Thuram (doubtful) — Injury
  • ❓ Ryan Roberto (doubtful) — Injury

Fluminense

  • ❌ G. Cano — Inactive
  • ❌ Hercules — Inactive
  • ❌ Y. Soteldo — Inactive
  • ❌ Everaldo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Savarino — Inactive
  • ❌ Nonato — Injury
  • ❌ A. Canobbio — Red Card
  • ❌ F. Bernal — Injury
  • ❌ PH Ganso — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheus Reis — Knee Injury
  • ❌ L. Acosta — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Martinelli — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Alisson — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ignacio — Broken Hand
  • ❌ R. Castillo — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Freytes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Vitor Eudes — Inactive
  • ❌ John Kennedy — Red Card
  • ❌ J. Millan — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guilherme Arana — Injury
  • ❌ Thiago Silva — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ Guga — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Igor Rabello — Injury
  • ❌ Samuel Xavier — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ Hulk — Inactive
  • ❌ Rene — Inactive
  • ❓ Jemmes (doubtful) — Inactive

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