Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Gremio vs Palmeiras

Gremio
0:0
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Palmeiras

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 80% 50.1% @1.92 — 51.7% -1.6 pp ❌
Double Chance X2 73% 74.1% @1.25 — 77.2% -3.1 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 81% 49.2% @1.76 — 52.7% -3.5 pp ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 46.7% @1.90 — 50.5% -3.8 pp ✅
Correct Score 0-1 65% 8.3% @7.50 — 5.7% +2.6 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 67% 57.9% @1.50 — 60.1% -2.2 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Gremio 1.05 – 1.50 Palmeiras · expected total 2.56

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Gremio

Winless 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Palmeiras

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
0/6
Over 2.5
0/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
6/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Gremio

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Palmeiras

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game) Best defence (0.70 conceded/game) Worst BTTS rate (0%) Worst Over 2.5 rate (0%) Best clean sheets (13)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gremio at home · Palmeiras away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Gremio (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–3L
W 7
D 4
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3

Palmeiras (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–6D–2L
W 7
D 6
L 2
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets7
Failed to score3
Gremio (home)Palmeiras (away)
W 7
D 4
L 3
W 7
D 6
L 2
Played
14
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.80
Clean sheets
4
7
Failed to score
3
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Gremio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Remo Away 1–1 D
20/09 Palmeiras Home 0–0 D
16/09 Botafogo Away 2–3 L
12/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L
07/09 Vitoria Away 0–1 L

Palmeiras

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Bahia Home 1–0 W
20/09 Gremio Away 0–0 D
12/09 Sao Paulo Home 2–0 W
09/09 LDU de Quito Home 1–0 W
06/09 Botafogo Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Gremio #18 · 30 pts —  Palmeiras #2 · 60 pts

Gremio

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–9D–13L
W 7
D 9
L 13
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets6
Failed to score10
Yellow cards78
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.27
xG against (avg)0.50
Corners for (avg)2.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Palmeiras

Wins–Draws–Losses17W–9D–3L
W 17
D 9
L 3
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets13
Failed to score4
Yellow cards65
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.75
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
GremioPalmeiras
W 7
D 9
L 13
W 17
D 9
L 3
Played
29
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
0.70
Clean sheets
6
13
Failed to score
10
4
Yellow cards
78
65
Red cards
4
5
xG for (avg)
0.27
0.75
xG against (avg)
0.50
0.47
Corners for (avg)
2.50
8.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gremio

2
0-15
2
7
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
9
46-60
11
11
61-75
4
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Palmeiras

2
0-15
8
1
16-30
9
5
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
9
5
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Gremio

  • ❌ M. Braithwaite — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Villasanti — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Walter Kannemann — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Perez — Inactive
  • ❌ Wagner Leonardo — Red Card
  • ❌ Arthur Melo — Injury
  • ❌ Willian — Inactive
  • ❌ Gustavo Martins — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Marlon — Inactive
  • ❌ Caio Paulista — Loan agreement
  • ❌ E. Noriega — Inactive
  • ❌ Viery — Red Card
  • ❌ Carlos Vinicius — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Roger — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Nardoni — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Riquelme — Red Card
  • ❌ Fabian Balbuena — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. Pavon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Mec — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Pedro Gabriel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Grando — Inactive
  • ❌ Luis Eduardo — Inactive
  • ❌ Weverton — International duty
  • ❌ Tete — Injury
  • ❌ Dodi — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Diego Caito — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ J. Cabral — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Nascimento — Inactive
  • ❓ M. Monsalve (doubtful) — Injury
  • ❓ F. Amuzu (doubtful) — Inactive

Palmeiras

  • ❌ Felipe Anderson — Inactive
  • ❌ Figueiredo — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Evangelista — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Paulinho — Leg Injury
  • ❌ J. Arias — Inactive
  • ❌ Mauricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Murilo — Inactive
  • ❌ Vitor Roque — Inactive
  • ❌ J. Piquerez — Injury
  • ❌ Jefte — Inactive
  • ❌ Marlon Freitas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Allan Elias — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Benedetti — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Bruno Fuchs — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ R. Sosa — Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Andreas Pereira — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Carlos Miguel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Giay — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ G. Gomez — International duty
  • ❌ J. Lopez — International duty
  • ❌ E. Martinez — International duty
  • ❌ A. Barboza — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Khellven — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Arthur Gabriel — Red Card

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