Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Vitoria vs Gremio

Vitoria
1:0
Full Time · 07 Sep 2026
Gremio

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 75% 38.7% @2.13 — 46.7% -8 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 69% 68.7% @1.30 — 74.8% -6.1 pp ✅
BTTS No 88% 61.7% @1.84 — 50.3% +11.4 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 91% 68.5% @1.72 — 55.9% +12.6 pp ✅
Correct Score 0-0 78% 15.8% @7.70 — 5.4% +10.4 pp ❌
Draw (value pick) Draw 70% 31.4% @3.38 — 28.1% +3.3 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 73% 59.9% @1.93 — 48.9% +11 pp ✅

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Vitoria

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Gremio

Winless 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Vitoria

3rd best clean sheets (11)

Gremio

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Vitoria at home · Gremio away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Vitoria (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–1D–4L
W 10
D 1
L 4
Played15
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets10
Failed to score3

Gremio (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–5D–10L
D 5
L 10
Played15
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score7
Vitoria (home)Gremio (away)
W 10
D 1
L 4
D 5
L 10
Played
15
15
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.50
Clean sheets
10
2
Failed to score
3
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Vitoria

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Chapecoense-sc Home 4–0 W
20/09 Cruzeiro Home 1–3 L
13/09 Mirassol Away 2–2 D
07/09 Gremio Home 1–0 W
03/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 0–2 L

Gremio

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Remo Away 1–1 D
20/09 Palmeiras Home 0–0 D
16/09 Botafogo Away 2–3 L
12/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 1–2 L
07/09 Vitoria Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Vitoria #12 · 36 pts —  Gremio #18 · 30 pts

Vitoria

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–6D–14L
W 10
D 6
L 14
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets11
Failed to score9
Yellow cards69
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.47
xG against (avg)0.53
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Gremio

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–9D–13L
W 7
D 9
L 13
Played29
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets6
Failed to score10
Yellow cards78
Red cards4
xG for (avg)0.27
xG against (avg)0.50
Corners for (avg)2.50
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
VitoriaGremio
W 10
D 6
L 14
W 7
D 9
L 13
Played
30
29
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.30
Clean sheets
11
6
Failed to score
9
10
Yellow cards
69
78
Red cards
3
4
xG for (avg)
0.47
0.27
xG against (avg)
0.53
0.50
Corners for (avg)
5.30
2.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Vitoria

2
0-15
3
4
16-30
8
10
31-45
3
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
11
76-90
5
scored conceded

Gremio

2
0-15
2
7
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
9
46-60
11
11
61-75
4
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Vitoria

  • ❌ Claudinho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Edu — Inactive
  • ❌ Fintelman — Hip Injury
  • ❌ Kauan Vitor — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Arcanjo — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Ramos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lopez — Injury
  • ❌ H. Pedro — Injury
  • ❌ Dudu — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Candido — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri — Inactive
  • ❌ Jamerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Renato Kayzer — Inactive
  • ❌ Riccieli — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Baralhas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Emmanuel Martinez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Camutanga — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Edenilson — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheusinho — Injury
  • ❌ Fabricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Neris — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel — Inactive
  • ❌ Caca — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ramon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Anderson — Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Cantalapiedra — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Ze Vitor — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Caique Goncalves — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Walace — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fabiano — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Tarzia — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Marinho (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

Gremio

  • ❌ M. Braithwaite — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • ❌ M. Villasanti — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Walter Kannemann — Inactive
  • ❌ L. Perez — Inactive
  • ❌ Wagner Leonardo — Red Card
  • ❌ Arthur Melo — Injury
  • ❌ Willian — Inactive
  • ❌ Gustavo Martins — Inactive
  • ❌ Joao Pedro — Inactive
  • ❌ Marlon — Inactive
  • ❌ Caio Paulista — Loan agreement
  • ❌ E. Noriega — Inactive
  • ❌ Viery — Red Card
  • ❌ Carlos Vinicius — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Roger — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ J. Nardoni — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Riquelme — Red Card
  • ❌ Fabian Balbuena — Thigh Injury
  • ❌ C. Pavon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Andre Henrique — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Mec — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Pedro Gabriel — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel Grando — Inactive
  • ❌ Luis Eduardo — Inactive
  • ❌ Weverton — International duty
  • ❌ Tete — Injury
  • ❌ Dodi — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Diego Caito — Shoulder Injury
  • ❌ J. Cabral — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Matheus Nascimento — Inactive
  • ❓ M. Monsalve (doubtful) — Injury
  • ❓ F. Amuzu (doubtful) — Inactive

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