Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo

Palmeiras

2:0

Full Time · 12 Sep 2026

Sao Paulo

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

Market	Tip	Confidence	Probability	Odds	Bookmaker	Market implied	Edge	Result
Match Result (1X2)	Home	86%	61.9%	@1.67	—	60.2%	+1.7 pp	✅
Double Chance	1X	80%	83.7%	@1.15	—	84.9%	-1.2 pp	✅
BTTS	No	81%	49.2%	@1.70	—	54.4%	-5.2 pp	✅
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	80%	47.9%	@1.72	—	56%	-8.1 pp	✅
Correct Score	1-0	68%	10.4%	@5.50	—	7.7%	+2.7 pp	❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.)	Over 9.5	77%	66%	@1.70	—	55.3%	+10.7 pp	✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Palmeiras 1.75 – 0.79 Sao Paulo · expected total 2.54

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Palmeiras

Unbeaten 10

BTTS

0/6

Over 2.5

0/6

Scored

3/6

Clean sheets

6/6

Sao Paulo

Lost 2 in a row

BTTS

2/6

Over 2.5

1/6

Scored

3/6

Clean sheets

1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Palmeiras

2nd best attack (1.70 goals/game) Best defence (0.70 conceded/game) Worst BTTS rate (0%) Worst Over 2.5 rate (0%) Best clean sheets (13)

Sao Paulo

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Palmeiras at home · Sao Paulo away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Palmeiras (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–1L

W 10

D 3

L 1

Played14

Goals scored (avg)1.70

Goals conceded (avg)0.60

Clean sheets6

Failed to score1

Sao Paulo (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–10L

W 2

D 3

L 10

Played15

Goals scored (avg)0.70

Goals conceded (avg)1.50

Clean sheets1

Failed to score6

Palmeiras (home)Sao Paulo (away)

W 10

D 3

L 1

W 2

D 3

L 10

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.70

0.70

Goals conceded (avg)

0.60

1.50

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Palmeiras 7 wins · 3 draws · Sao Paulo 0 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
22 Mar 2026	Sao Paulo	0–1	Palmeiras	Serie A
01 Mar 2026	Palmeiras	2–1	Sao Paulo	Paulista - A1
24 Jan 2026	Palmeiras	3–1	Sao Paulo	Paulista - A1
05 Oct 2025	Sao Paulo	2–3	Palmeiras	Serie A
11 May 2025	Palmeiras	1–0	Sao Paulo	Serie A
11 Mar 2025	Palmeiras	1–0	Sao Paulo	Paulista - A1
16 Feb 2025	Palmeiras	0–0	Sao Paulo	Paulista - A1
18 Aug 2024	Palmeiras	2–1	Sao Paulo	Serie A
29 Apr 2024	Sao Paulo	0–0	Palmeiras	Serie A
03 Mar 2024	Sao Paulo	1–1	Palmeiras	Paulista - A1

📈 Recent Form

Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
09/10	Bahia	Home	1–0	W
20/09	Gremio	Away	0–0	D
12/09	Sao Paulo	Home	2–0	W
09/09	LDU de Quito	Home	1–0	W
06/09	Botafogo	Away	0–0	D

Sao Paulo

Date	Opponent	Venue	Score	Result
08/10	Cruzeiro	Away	0–2	L
02/10	Santos	Home	1–2	L
20/09	Internacional	Home	1–0	W
16/09	Boca Juniors	Home	1–1	D
12/09	Palmeiras	Away	0–2	L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Palmeiras #2 · 60 pts — Sao Paulo #9 · 39 pts

Palmeiras

Wins–Draws–Losses17W–9D–3L

W 17

D 9

L 3

Played29

Goals scored (avg)1.70

Goals conceded (avg)0.70

Clean sheets13

Failed to score4

Yellow cards65

Red cards5

xG for (avg)0.75

xG against (avg)0.47

Corners for (avg)8.20

Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Sao Paulo

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–6D–13L

W 11

D 6

L 13

Played30

Goals scored (avg)1.10

Goals conceded (avg)1.20

Clean sheets6

Failed to score7

Yellow cards58

Red cards2

xG for (avg)0.25

xG against (avg)0.46

Corners for (avg)5.20

Penalties (scored/missed)6/0

PalmeirasSao Paulo

W 17

D 9

L 3

W 11

D 6

L 13

Played

Goals scored (avg)

1.70

1.10

Goals conceded (avg)

0.70

1.20

Clean sheets

Failed to score

Yellow cards

Red cards

xG for (avg)

0.75

0.25

xG against (avg)

0.47

0.46

Corners for (avg)

8.20

5.20

Penalties (scored/missed)

2/0

6/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Palmeiras

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Sao Paulo

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Palmeiras

❌ Felipe Anderson — Inactive
❌ Figueiredo — Inactive
❌ Lucas Evangelista — Hamstring Injury
❌ Paulinho — Leg Injury
❌ J. Arias — Inactive
❌ Mauricio — Inactive
❌ Murilo — Inactive
❌ Vitor Roque — Inactive
❌ J. Piquerez — Injury
❌ Jefte — Inactive
❌ Marlon Freitas — Yellow Cards
❌ Allan Elias — Yellow Cards
❌ Benedetti — Ankle Injury
❌ Bruno Fuchs — Hamstring Injury
❌ R. Sosa — Ankle Injury
❌ Andreas Pereira — Yellow Cards
❌ Carlos Miguel — Yellow Cards
❌ A. Giay — Yellow Cards
❌ G. Gomez — International duty
❌ J. Lopez — International duty
❌ E. Martinez — International duty
❌ A. Barboza — Yellow Cards
❌ Khellven — Yellow Cards
❌ Arthur Gabriel — Red Card

Sao Paulo

❌ Andre Silva — Knee Injury
❌ Ryan Francisco — Knee Injury
❌ Alisson — Inactive
❌ Danielzinho — Inactive
❌ Lucca Marques — Inactive
❌ Lucas Ramon — Inactive
❌ Lucas Moura — Broken rib
❌ D. Bobadilla — International duty
❌ Carlos Coronel — Inactive
❌ E. Diaz — Yellow Cards
❌ A. Franco — Injury
❌ G. Tapia — International duty
❌ Paulinho — Inactive
❌ Jonathan Calleri — Contusion
❌ Luciano — Overload
❌ Pablo Maia — Face Injury
❌ Sabino — Overload
❌ Djhordney — Inactive
❌ Marcos Antonio — Injury
❌ R. Toloi — Yellow Cards
❌ Ferreira — Inactive
❌ Maik — Inactive
❌ Robert Arboleda — Inactive
❌ Cauly — Inactive
❌ Wendell — Yellow Cards
❌ Victor Sa — Inactive
❌ Luis Osorio — Red Card
❌ N. Bosshardt — Inactive
❌ Buta — Knee Injury
❌ D. Duarte — Knee Injury
❌ Iago Borduchi — Inactive
❌ Rafael — Inactive
❌ P. dos Santos — International duty

More: Serie A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws