Predictions → Brazil Serie A

Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

Sao Paulo
2:1
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Vitoria

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 82% 51.6% — — — — ✅
Double Chance 1X 76% 77.9% — — — — ✅
BTTS No 81% 49.2% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.3% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 1-0 71% 12.2% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.6% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Sao Paulo 1.41 – 0.77 Vitoria · expected total 2.18

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Sao Paulo

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Vitoria

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Serie A

Sao Paulo

2nd worst Over 2.5 rate (17%)

Vitoria

3rd best clean sheets (11)

Rank among 20 Serie A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Sao Paulo at home · Vitoria away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Sao Paulo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–3D–3L
W 8
D 3
L 3
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1

Vitoria (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–5D–9L
D 5
L 9
Played14
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Sao Paulo (home)Vitoria (away)
W 8
D 3
L 3
D 5
L 9
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
2.10
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
1
6

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo 7 wins · 0 draws · Vitoria 3 wins · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 3 of 10

7
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
11 Apr 2026 Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo Serie A
07 Dec 2025 Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo Serie A
09 Aug 2025 Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria Serie A
25 Aug 2024 Sao Paulo 2–1 Vitoria Serie A
05 May 2024 Vitoria 1–3 Sao Paulo Serie A
26 Oct 2018 Vitoria 0–1 Sao Paulo Serie A
13 Jun 2018 Sao Paulo 3–0 Vitoria Serie A
17 Sep 2017 Vitoria 1–2 Sao Paulo Serie A
08 Jun 2017 Sao Paulo 2–0 Vitoria Serie A
25 Sep 2016 Vitoria 2–0 Sao Paulo Serie A

📈 Recent Form

Sao Paulo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Cruzeiro Away 0–2 L
02/10 Santos Home 1–2 L
20/09 Internacional Home 1–0 W
16/09 Boca Juniors Home 1–1 D
12/09 Palmeiras Away 0–2 L

Vitoria

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07/10 Chapecoense-sc Home 4–0 W
20/09 Cruzeiro Home 1–3 L
13/09 Mirassol Away 2–2 D
07/09 Gremio Home 1–0 W
03/09 Vasco DA Gama Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison — Serie A

Sao Paulo #9 · 39 pts —  Vitoria #12 · 36 pts

Sao Paulo

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–6D–13L
W 11
D 6
L 13
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets6
Failed to score7
Yellow cards58
Red cards2
xG for (avg)0.25
xG against (avg)0.46
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)6/0

Vitoria

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–6D–14L
W 10
D 6
L 14
Played30
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets11
Failed to score9
Yellow cards69
Red cards3
xG for (avg)0.47
xG against (avg)0.53
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
Sao PauloVitoria
W 11
D 6
L 13
W 10
D 6
L 14
Played
30
30
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.40
Clean sheets
6
11
Failed to score
7
9
Yellow cards
58
69
Red cards
2
3
xG for (avg)
0.25
0.47
xG against (avg)
0.46
0.53
Corners for (avg)
5.20
5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
6/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Sao Paulo

1
0-15
5
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
14
46-60
7
3
61-75
9
8
76-90
4
scored conceded

Vitoria

2
0-15
3
4
16-30
8
10
31-45
3
7
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
11
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Sao Paulo

  • ❌ Andre Silva — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Ryan Francisco — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Alisson — Inactive
  • ❌ Danielzinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucca Marques — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Ramon — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Moura — Broken rib
  • ❌ D. Bobadilla — International duty
  • ❌ Carlos Coronel — Inactive
  • ❌ E. Diaz — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ A. Franco — Injury
  • ❌ G. Tapia — International duty
  • ❌ Paulinho — Inactive
  • ❌ Jonathan Calleri — Contusion
  • ❌ Luciano — Overload
  • ❌ Pablo Maia — Face Injury
  • ❌ Sabino — Overload
  • ❌ Djhordney — Inactive
  • ❌ Marcos Antonio — Injury
  • ❌ R. Toloi — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ferreira — Inactive
  • ❌ Maik — Inactive
  • ❌ Robert Arboleda — Inactive
  • ❌ Cauly — Inactive
  • ❌ Wendell — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Victor Sa — Inactive
  • ❌ Luis Osorio — Red Card
  • ❌ N. Bosshardt — Inactive
  • ❌ Buta — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Duarte — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Iago Borduchi — Inactive
  • ❌ Rafael — Inactive
  • ❌ P. dos Santos — International duty

Vitoria

  • ❌ Claudinho — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Edu — Inactive
  • ❌ Fintelman — Hip Injury
  • ❌ Kauan Vitor — Inactive
  • ❌ Lucas Arcanjo — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Ramos — Knee Injury
  • ❌ R. Lopez — Injury
  • ❌ H. Pedro — Injury
  • ❌ Dudu — Inactive
  • ❌ Luan Candido — Inactive
  • ❌ Yuri — Inactive
  • ❌ Jamerson — Inactive
  • ❌ Renato Kayzer — Inactive
  • ❌ Riccieli — Calf Injury
  • ❌ Baralhas — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Emmanuel Martinez — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Camutanga — Broken Leg
  • ❌ Edenilson — Red Card
  • ❌ Matheusinho — Injury
  • ❌ Fabricio — Inactive
  • ❌ Neris — Injury
  • ❌ Nathan Mendes — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Gabriel — Inactive
  • ❌ Caca — Inactive
  • ❌ Matheuzinho — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Ramon — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Anderson — Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Cantalapiedra — Personal Reasons
  • ❌ Ze Vitor — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Caique Goncalves — Yellow Cards
  • ❌ Walace — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Fabiano — Knee Injury
  • ❌ D. Tarzia — Yellow Cards
  • ❓ Marinho (doubtful) — Ankle Injury

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