Bulgaria First League Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 10 Days β€’ 9 Matches β€’ Round 1 β€’ Updated just now β€’ UTC+3

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Regular Season , Round 1

Friday, July 17

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:00 LDWWL
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
LDWWD 77% 42% Home N/A β€”
21:15 WDWWD
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
DDLWL 85% 56.7% Home N/A β€”

Saturday, July 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:00 LWWWD
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
LWLWW 70% 28.1% Draw N/A β€”
21:15 DWWLD
Ludogorets Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WWLLW 77% 41.1% Home N/A β€”

Sunday, July 19

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:30 DWDWW
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
WDWLL 70% 27.7% Draw N/A β€”

Monday, July 20

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:15 WWLLL
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
WLWLL 75% 37.8% Home N/A β€”
21:30 WLWWW
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
DWLWD 67% 22.7% Draw N/A β€”

Predictlix First League Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: July 4, 2026

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Match Outcome Confidence Map

Levski Sofia versus Dunav Ruse carries the strongest signal across the card. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine rates the home win at 85 confidence, with a 56.7 probability β€” the highest of any fixture. Levski's attacking lambda of 1.73 dwarfs Dunav's 0.90, creating a clear edge. Ludogorets (78 confidence) and Slavia Sofia (74 confidence) also project home wins, but less decisively. Back Levski Sofia to win at available odds with confidence.

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Goals Landscape β€” Over/Under Breakdown

Slavia Sofia versus CSKA Sofia shows the strongest Under indicator across the card. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns a 92% confidence to Under 2.5 goals, with both attack rates below 1.10 expected goals. Ludogorets against Lokomotiv Plovdiv also leans Under, carrying 88% confidence and low combined lambda values of 1.25 and 0.95. Botev Plovdiv hosting Lokomotiv Sofia offers the best Over value. The BTTS probability sits at 60.9%, and the Over 2.5 confidence is just 75%, but the home lambda of 1.95 suggests goals. Back Under 2.5 in Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia at odds near 1.50 with strong confidence.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Ludogorets bring a formidable home record into this Regular Season - 1 clash. They have won their last five league matches at their own ground. Levski Sofia also arrive in strong form with three consecutive victories overall. In contrast, Botev Vratsa are struggling, having failed to win any of their last six outings. Cherno More Varna, meanwhile, have scored in each of their previous four away games. These contrasting runs set up several intriguing statistical subplots across the window.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Ludogorets kick off their Regular Season - 1 campaign as heavy favourites at home to Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Levski Sofia also begin the season with clear motivation, hosting Dunav Ruse in a fixture where the home side's attacking intent is expected to dominate. Slavia Sofia welcome CSKA Sofia in a capital derby that carries early-season bragging rights. Botev Plovdiv face Lokomotiv Sofia in what the PredictLix enhanced Poisson engine sees as a tightly-contested draw. Every fixture in this window is a live contest with no dead rubbers.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Levski Sofia's home prediction carries 85 confidence against Dunav Ruse, making it the strongest single on the card. Slavia Sofia's home win over CSKA Sofia sits at 74 confidence with a 36.9% predicted probability. Ludogorets at home against Lokomotiv Plovdiv shows 78 confidence and a 43.1% probability. These three picks form a solid accumulator, with Levski Sofia and Ludogorets both offering value as strong acca legs while Slavia Sofia provides a high-conviction third leg. Back Levski Sofia, Ludogorets, and Slavia Sofia to win their home fixtures.