Levski Sofia are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Regular Season , Round 1
Friday, July 17
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | LDWWL |
Spartak Varna
vs
CSKA 1948
|
LDWWD | 77% | 42% | Home | N/A | β |
| 21:15 | WDWWD |
Levski Sofia
vs
Dunav Ruse
|
DDLWL | 85% | 56.7% | Home | N/A | β |
Saturday, July 18
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | LWWWD |
Septemvri Sofia
vs
Arda Kardzhali
|
LWLWW | 70% | 28.1% | Draw | N/A | β |
| 21:15 | DWWLD |
Ludogorets
vs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
WWLLW | 77% | 41.1% | Home | N/A | β |
Sunday, July 19
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | DWDWW |
Botev Vratsa
vs
Cherno More Varna
|
WDWLL | 70% | 27.7% | Draw | N/A | β |
Monday, July 20
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:15 | WWLLL |
Slavia Sofia
vs
CSKA Sofia
|
WLWLL | 75% | 37.8% | Home | N/A | β |
| 21:30 | WLWWW |
Botev Plovdiv
vs
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
DWLWD | 67% | 22.7% | Draw | N/A | β |
Top Trends from First League Teams
In their 10 most recent matches, Dunav Ruse have achieved just 2 wins
Septemvri Sofia are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Ludogorets have achieved just 2 wins
Botev Vratsa are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Slavia Sofia have achieved just 2 wins
CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in 8 of their 10 most recent matches
Predictlix First League Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: July 4, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Levski Sofia versus Dunav Ruse carries the strongest signal across the card. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine rates the home win at 85 confidence, with a 56.7 probability β the highest of any fixture. Levski's attacking lambda of 1.73 dwarfs Dunav's 0.90, creating a clear edge. Ludogorets (78 confidence) and Slavia Sofia (74 confidence) also project home wins, but less decisively. Back Levski Sofia to win at available odds with confidence.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
Slavia Sofia versus CSKA Sofia shows the strongest Under indicator across the card. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns a 92% confidence to Under 2.5 goals, with both attack rates below 1.10 expected goals. Ludogorets against Lokomotiv Plovdiv also leans Under, carrying 88% confidence and low combined lambda values of 1.25 and 0.95. Botev Plovdiv hosting Lokomotiv Sofia offers the best Over value. The BTTS probability sits at 60.9%, and the Over 2.5 confidence is just 75%, but the home lambda of 1.95 suggests goals. Back Under 2.5 in Slavia Sofia vs CSKA Sofia at odds near 1.50 with strong confidence.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Ludogorets bring a formidable home record into this Regular Season - 1 clash. They have won their last five league matches at their own ground. Levski Sofia also arrive in strong form with three consecutive victories overall. In contrast, Botev Vratsa are struggling, having failed to win any of their last six outings. Cherno More Varna, meanwhile, have scored in each of their previous four away games. These contrasting runs set up several intriguing statistical subplots across the window.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Ludogorets kick off their Regular Season - 1 campaign as heavy favourites at home to Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Levski Sofia also begin the season with clear motivation, hosting Dunav Ruse in a fixture where the home side's attacking intent is expected to dominate. Slavia Sofia welcome CSKA Sofia in a capital derby that carries early-season bragging rights. Botev Plovdiv face Lokomotiv Sofia in what the PredictLix enhanced Poisson engine sees as a tightly-contested draw. Every fixture in this window is a live contest with no dead rubbers.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Levski Sofia's home prediction carries 85 confidence against Dunav Ruse, making it the strongest single on the card. Slavia Sofia's home win over CSKA Sofia sits at 74 confidence with a 36.9% predicted probability. Ludogorets at home against Lokomotiv Plovdiv shows 78 confidence and a 43.1% probability. These three picks form a solid accumulator, with Levski Sofia and Ludogorets both offering value as strong acca legs while Slavia Sofia provides a high-conviction third leg. Back Levski Sofia, Ludogorets, and Slavia Sofia to win their home fixtures.
