Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

Atletico Nacional
0:0
Full Time · 08 Oct 2026
Deportes Tolima

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 88% 67.3% — — — — ❌
Double Chance 1X 78% 81.4% — — — — ✅
BTTS Yes 83% 52.1% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 51% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 2-0 64% 8.1% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.8% — — — — ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico Nacional 2.12 – 0.98 Deportes Tolima · expected total 3.10

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico Nacional

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Deportes Tolima

Winless 7
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

Atletico Nacional

Best attack (1.90 goals/game) 2nd best defence (0.90 conceded/game) 3rd best clean sheets (12)

Deportes Tolima

3rd best clean sheets (12)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico Nacional at home · Deportes Tolima away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico Nacional (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–3D–0L
W 14
D 3
Played17
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets9
Failed to score2

Deportes Tolima (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–7D–7L
W 4
D 7
L 7
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets5
Failed to score7
Atletico Nacional (home)Deportes Tolima (away)
W 14
D 3
W 4
D 7
L 7
Played
17
18
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.20
Clean sheets
9
5
Failed to score
2
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Deportes Tolima Home 0–0 D
01/10 Junior Home 3–1 W
26/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
25/09 Millonarios Home 1–1 D
21/09 Llaneros Away 0–2 L

Deportes Tolima

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
11/10 Jaguares Away 2–3 L
08/10 Atletico Nacional Away 0–0 D
03/10 Chico Home 0–0 D
27/09 Fortaleza FC Away 2–2 D
20/09 America de Cali Home 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

Atletico Nacional #1 · 40 pts —  Deportes Tolima #6 · 31 pts

Atletico Nacional

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–1D–5L
W 13
D 1
L 5
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets12
Failed to score10
Yellow cards90
Red cards9
xG for (avg)0.88
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)5/2

Deportes Tolima

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–7D–4L
W 8
D 7
L 4
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets12
Failed to score11
Yellow cards89
Red cards11
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)0.38
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)7/2
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
W 13
D 1
L 5
W 8
D 7
L 4
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.00
Clean sheets
12
12
Failed to score
10
11
Yellow cards
90
89
Red cards
9
11
xG for (avg)
0.88
0.94
xG against (avg)
0.47
0.38
Corners for (avg)
6.40
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/2
7/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico Nacional

8
0-15
8
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
13
2
61-75
15
4
76-90
17
scored conceded

Deportes Tolima

3
0-15
7
9
16-30
5
5
31-45
8
9
46-60
10
6
61-75
7
7
76-90
9
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws