Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Atletico Nacional vs Junior

Atletico Nacional
3:1
Full Time · 01 Oct 2026
Junior

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 70.6% @1.43 — 69.5% +1.1 pp ✅
Double Chance 1X 73% 74.5% @1.06 — 87.2% -12.7 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 84% 54.4% @1.77 — 52.3% +2.1 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 51.6% @1.63 — 58.1% -6.5 pp ✅
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.7% @9.65 — 5% +2.7 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53% @1.86 — 49.7% +3.3 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico Nacional 1.98 – 1.23 Junior · expected total 3.21

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico Nacional

Unbeaten 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Junior

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

Atletico Nacional

Best attack (1.90 goals/game) 3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (12)

Junior

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico Nacional at home · Junior away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Atletico Nacional (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses14W–3D–0L
W 14
D 3
Played17
Goals scored (avg)2.40
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets9
Failed to score2

Junior (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–9L
W 7
D 2
L 9
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Atletico Nacional (home)Junior (away)
W 14
D 3
W 7
D 2
L 9
Played
17
18
Goals scored (avg)
2.40
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.40
Clean sheets
9
4
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Atletico Nacional

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Deportes Tolima Home 0–0 D
01/10 Junior Home 3–1 W
26/09 Chapecoense-sc Home 1–1 D
25/09 Millonarios Home 1–1 D
21/09 Llaneros Away 0–2 L

Junior

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04/10 Bucaramanga Away 1–3 L
01/10 Atletico Nacional Away 1–3 L
27/09 Independiente Medellin Home 2–0 W
20/09 Fortaleza FC Away 4–1 W
13/09 Alianza Valledupar Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

Atletico Nacional #1 · 40 pts —  Junior #2 · 35 pts

Atletico Nacional

Wins–Draws–Losses13W–1D–5L
W 13
D 1
L 5
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets12
Failed to score10
Yellow cards90
Red cards9
xG for (avg)0.88
xG against (avg)0.47
Corners for (avg)6.40
Penalties (scored/missed)5/2

Junior

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–2D–6L
W 11
D 2
L 6
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets10
Failed to score7
Yellow cards108
Red cards4
xG for (avg)1.24
xG against (avg)1.40
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)11/2
Atletico NacionalJunior
W 13
D 1
L 5
W 11
D 2
L 6
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.30
Clean sheets
12
10
Failed to score
10
7
Yellow cards
90
108
Red cards
9
4
xG for (avg)
0.88
1.24
xG against (avg)
0.47
1.40
Corners for (avg)
6.40
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/2
11/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico Nacional

8
0-15
8
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
8
7
46-60
13
2
61-75
15
4
76-90
17
scored conceded

Junior

7
0-15
8
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
12
5
46-60
6
7
61-75
7
12
76-90
14
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws