Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima

Jaguares
3:2
Full Time · 11 Oct 2026
Deportes Tolima

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 77% 38.4% — — — — ❌
Double Chance X2 70% 69.8% — — — — ❌
BTTS Yes 80% 48.2% — — — — ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.5% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 0-1 67% 9.6% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.6% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Jaguares 0.99 – 1.29 Deportes Tolima · expected total 2.28

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Jaguares

Lost 3 in a row Winless 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Deportes Tolima

Unbeaten 4 Winless 6
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

Jaguares

Worst defence (1.80 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (5)

Deportes Tolima

3rd best defence (0.90 conceded/game) Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%) 2nd best clean sheets (12)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Jaguares at home · Deportes Tolima away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Jaguares (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–4D–6L
W 6
D 4
L 6
Played16
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2

Deportes Tolima (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–7D–6L
W 4
D 7
L 6
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score7
Jaguares (home)Deportes Tolima (away)
W 6
D 4
L 6
W 4
D 7
L 6
Played
16
17
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.10
Clean sheets
5
5
Failed to score
2
7

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Deportes Tolima 7 wins · 3 draws · Jaguares 0 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

7
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
28 Mar 2026 Deportes Tolima 3–1 Jaguares Primera A
19 Aug 2024 Jaguares 0–2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
15 Feb 2024 Deportes Tolima 2–0 Jaguares Primera A
06 Oct 2023 Jaguares 0–1 Deportes Tolima Primera A
26 Apr 2023 Deportes Tolima 1–1 Jaguares Primera A
06 Aug 2022 Deportes Tolima 2–2 Jaguares Primera A
14 Feb 2022 Jaguares 0–2 Deportes Tolima Primera A
30 Aug 2021 Jaguares 0–3 Deportes Tolima Primera A
13 Mar 2021 Deportes Tolima 3–2 Jaguares Primera A
18 Oct 2020 Jaguares 1–1 Deportes Tolima Primera A

📈 Recent Form

Jaguares

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03/10 Águilas Doradas Away 0–2 L
27/09 Alianza Valledupar Home 1–2 L
22/09 Independiente Medellin Away 1–2 L
11/09 Fortaleza FC Home 2–2 D
06/09 Junior Away 3–3 D

Deportes Tolima

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
08/10 Atletico Nacional Away 0–0 D
03/10 Chico Home 0–0 D
27/09 Fortaleza FC Away 2–2 D
20/09 America de Cali Home 1–1 D
16/09 Once Caldas Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

Jaguares #16 · 18 pts —  Deportes Tolima #6 · 31 pts

Jaguares

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–11L
W 5
D 3
L 11
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets5
Failed to score9
Yellow cards101
Red cards6
xG for (avg)0.38
xG against (avg)0.44
Corners for (avg)4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)5/1

Deportes Tolima

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–7D–4L
W 8
D 7
L 4
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets12
Failed to score11
Yellow cards86
Red cards11
xG for (avg)0.94
xG against (avg)0.38
Corners for (avg)5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)7/2
JaguaresDeportes Tolima
W 5
D 3
L 11
W 8
D 7
L 4
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.90
Clean sheets
5
12
Failed to score
9
11
Yellow cards
101
86
Red cards
6
11
xG for (avg)
0.38
0.94
xG against (avg)
0.44
0.38
Corners for (avg)
4.90
5.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
5/1
7/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Jaguares

9
0-15
4
7
16-30
5
7
31-45
4
8
46-60
5
10
61-75
4
11
76-90
10
scored conceded

Deportes Tolima

3
0-15
7
8
16-30
6
4
31-45
8
9
46-60
10
5
61-75
7
6
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws