Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe

Independiente Medellin
0:1
Full Time · 06 Oct 2026
Santa Fe

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 38.4% — — — — ❌
Double Chance 12 69% 68.8% — — — — ❌
BTTS Yes 83% 53.5% — — — — ❌
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 48.7% — — — — ❌
Correct Score 1-0 63% 7.2% — — — — ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 63% 53.8% — — — — ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: Independiente Medellin 1.45 – 1.19 Santa Fe · expected total 2.64

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Independiente Medellin

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Santa Fe

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game)

Santa Fe

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Independiente Medellin at home · Santa Fe away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Independiente Medellin (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–3D–6L
W 8
D 3
L 6
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Santa Fe (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–7D–4L
W 6
D 7
L 4
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Independiente Medellin (home)Santa Fe (away)
W 8
D 3
L 6
W 6
D 7
L 4
Played
17
17
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.10
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Independiente Medellin

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Santa Fe Home 0–1 L
30/09 Millonarios Home 2–2 D
27/09 Junior Away 0–2 L
22/09 Jaguares Home 2–1 W
18/09 Bucaramanga Away 2–2 D

Santa Fe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Independiente Medellin Away 1–0 W
29/09 Deportivo Pereira Away 2–1 W
25/09 Union Magdalena Away 1–1 D
23/09 Deportivo Cali Home 0–1 L
19/09 Alianza Valledupar Away 4–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

Independiente Medellin #11 · 26 pts —  Santa Fe #7 · 29 pts

Independiente Medellin

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–7L
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets7
Failed to score5
Yellow cards88
Red cards8
xG for (avg)2.04
xG against (avg)0.77
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Santa Fe

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–8D–4L
W 7
D 8
L 4
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets7
Failed to score5
Yellow cards90
Red cards7
xG for (avg)1.48
xG against (avg)0.70
Corners for (avg)4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)5/0
Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
W 7
D 5
L 7
W 7
D 8
L 4
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.10
Clean sheets
7
7
Failed to score
5
5
Yellow cards
88
90
Red cards
8
7
xG for (avg)
2.04
1.48
xG against (avg)
0.77
0.70
Corners for (avg)
6.10
4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
5/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Independiente Medellin

4
0-15
4
9
16-30
9
11
31-45
6
5
46-60
9
3
61-75
6
7
76-90
12
scored conceded

Santa Fe

2
0-15
5
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
10
11
46-60
8
8
61-75
10
10
76-90
14
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws