Our model gives FC Copenhagen win a 92% confidence rating
Denmark Superliga Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches β’ Next 20 Days β’ 1 Matches β’ Round 10 β’ Updated 16 minutes ago β’ UTC+3
Regular Season, Round 10
Friday, October 09
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 20:00 | LWWDL |
FC Nordsjaelland
vs
Odense
|
DWWLD | 84% | 56.1% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 0 FT |
Sunday, October 11
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 15:00 | LWLWW |
Randers FC
vs
Viborg
|
WLDLW | 77% | 37.9% | Home β | N/A | 0 β 2 FT |
| 11/10 15:00 | WDDDL |
Silkeborg
vs
AC Horsens
|
DWLWW | 74% | 30.8% | Away β | N/A | 3 β 3 FT |
| 11/10 17:00 | LWLLL |
Brondby
vs
Lyngby
|
LDWWD | 85% | 58.7% | Home β | @1.72 | 5 β 2 FT |
| 11/10 19:00 | DWLWD |
FC Midtjylland
vs
FC Copenhagen
|
WWWWW | 78% | 40.3% | Home β | N/A | 2 β 1 FT |
Today - Monday, October 12
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | DWLDL |
Aarhus
vs
Sonderjyske
|
WLDLW | 87% | 65.5% | Home | 1.57 | β |
Top Trends from Superliga Teams
Our model gives Aarhus win a 87% confidence rating
Our model gives AC Horsens win a 87% confidence rating
Our model gives FC Midtjylland win a 85% confidence rating
In their 10 most recent matches, Sonderjyske have achieved just 2 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Silkeborg have achieved just 2 wins
In their 10 most recent matches, Lyngby have achieved just 2 wins
Predictlix Superliga Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: October 9, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
FC Copenhagen versus Aarhus stands out as the strongest call in this window, with the PredictLix model attaching a 91 confidence rating and a 75.1% probability to a home win, the highest figures here. A home lambda of 2.5504 against 1.0658 reflects the gulf between the league leaders and a side sitting in the relegation zone. Elsewhere, Odense versus Brondby carries a 39.5% home probability, while Silkeborg versus FC Nordsjaelland offers a tighter 39.8% edge. Back FC Copenhagen at home with high confidence.
Goals Landscape β Over/Under Breakdown
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus stands out for goals, with the PredictLix model leaning Over 2.5 at 56.7% and home lambda 2.5504 against away 1.0658, reflecting Copenhagen's 2.6 scored average and Aarhus's leaky 1.9 conceded mark. AC Horsens vs Sonderjyske also leans Over at 55.8%, driven by Horsens's 2.2595 lambda. By contrast, Randers FC vs Viborg leans Under 2.5 at 47.2%, with modest lambdas of 1.3411 and 1.103. Best angle: Over 2.5 in Copenhagen vs Aarhus, though no price is listed.
Streak & Momentum Signals
FC Copenhagen arrive on a five-match winning run, the longest active streak in this window, backed by 24 points and a goal difference of +15. Silkeborg and Lyngby have each managed just 2 wins across their 10 most recent matches, a winless pattern that drags both toward trouble. Aarhus sit on 5 points with a DLDLL form line, while Sonderjyske have lost three straight. Full data coverage applies, so these streaks rest on real samples rather than early-season noise.
Defensive Lines β Clean Sheets vs Leaky Defences
FC Copenhagen's defensive record stands out sharply, conceding just 0.9 goals per game across nine matches with five clean sheets. At the other end, Sonderjyske leak 2.3 goals per outing with only one clean sheet, while Lyngby and Aarhus have each shipped 1.6 per game. Brondby's backline has struggled too, recording 1.7 conceded and two clean sheets. FC Nordsjaelland and FC Midtjylland look far more solid at 0.9 apiece.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
FC Copenhagen sit top on 24 points with a goal difference of +15, chasing a Champions League spot across this Regular Season window. At the other end, Lyngby, Aarhus and Sonderjyske all occupy the relegation zone and must win. Sonderjyske versus Silkeborg matters hugely, since the visitors need points in their relegation battle. The Aarhus clash with Viborg pitches a must-win struggler against a Champions League spot contender.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
FC Nordsjaelland's trip to Odense, Aarhus hosting Sonderjyske and Brondby welcoming Lyngby form the PredictLix acca, where all three home sides are backed. Combined odds for the treble sit at 4.38. Each leg carries real conviction: confidence ratings of 88, 86 and 84 respectively, with the Nordsjaelland pick also showing a +4.3pp value edge. Back the three home wins at 4.38, though stake with care given the tight margins.
Model vs Market β Value Edges
FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense stands out, where the PredictLix model rates the home win at 68.3% against an implied 64%, a +4.3pp edge at odds of 1.52. Aarhus vs Sonderjyske offers another positive indicator, with the model at 62.5% versus 59.1% implied, a +3.4pp edge at 1.62. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed result in this specific contest. Back the FC Nordsjaelland home win at 1.52 with high confidence.
AI Prediction Accuracy β Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form β Last 30 Days
Probability Calibration β Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% | 44.8% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Both Teams to Score Β· <60% | 50.5% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% | 48.9% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Correct Score Β· <60% | 7.5% | 20.0% | 5 |
| Double Chance Β· 70-79% | 73.2% | 100.0% | 3 |
| Double Chance Β· 60-69% | 68.6% | 0.0% | 2 |
| Corners Over/Under Β· <60% | 54.1% | 40.0% | 5 |
| Draw Predictions Β· <60% | 27.4% | 100.0% | 1 |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 9
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 15:00 | ----- |
Brondby
vs
FC Copenhagen
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 0 β 1 FT |
| 20/09 15:00 | WLDLW |
Sonderjyske
vs
Randers FC
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 4 β 2 FT |
| 20/09 17:00 | ----- |
AC Horsens
vs
Aarhus
|
DWLDL | β | β | No data | N/A | 2 β 2 FT |
| 20/09 19:00 | ----- |
Viborg
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
|
----- | β | β | No data | N/A | 4 β 1 FT |