Predictions β†’ England EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon vs Arsenal U21

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 18:00 UTC+3 β€’ Group South - 6 β€’ The Cherry Red Records Stadium β€’ 🌦 10.9Β°C, 23 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home β€”81% 48.9% β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X β€”72% 73.2% β€” β€”
BTTS No β€”80% 47.8% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 β€”80% 46.8% β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 β€”63% 7.6% β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.7 exp.) Over 9.5 β€”61% 52.4% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 1.64 – 1.08 Arsenal U21 Β· expected total 2.73

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

AFC Wimbledon

Form (last 5)
LMansfield Town (H) 0–3 Β· 20/10/2026LSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–5 Β· 17/10/2026LPlymouth (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026DCambridge United (A) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026DMilton Keynes Dons (H) 0–0 Β· 17/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)0.79
xG against (recent avg)1.06

Arsenal U21

Form (last 5)
DSunderland U21 (H) 2–2 Β· 10/10/2026DBirmingham City U21 (A) 0–0 Β· 18/09/2026WLeyton Orient (A) 2–1 Β· 15/09/2026LChelsea U21 (H) 1–4 Β· 12/09/2026DBrighton U21 (A) 2–2 Β· 31/08/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)3.00
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)0.00
xG against (recent avg)0.00
AFC WimbledonArsenal U21
LMansfield Town (H) 0–3 Β· 20/10/2026LSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–5 Β· 17/10/2026LPlymouth (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026DCambridge United (A) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026DMilton Keynes Dons (H) 0–0 Β· 17/09/2026
DSunderland U21 (H) 2–2 Β· 10/10/2026DBirmingham City U21 (A) 0–0 Β· 18/09/2026WLeyton Orient (A) 2–1 Β· 15/09/2026LChelsea U21 (H) 1–4 Β· 12/09/2026DBrighton U21 (A) 2–2 Β· 31/08/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
3.00
Win streak (best this season)
0
0
xG for (recent avg)
0.79
0.00
xG against (recent avg)
1.06
0.00

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

AFC Wimbledon

Lost 3 in a row Winless 5
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Arsenal U21

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Arsenal U21

3rd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Wimbledon at home Β· Arsenal U21 away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Wimbledon (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–0L
D 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Arsenal U21 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
AFC Wimbledon (home)Arsenal U21 (away)
D 1
W 1
L 1
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
7.6%
2–1
7.6%
2–0
7%
3–1
4.2%
3–0
3.8%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

AFC Wimbledon 1 win Β· 0 draws Β· Arsenal U21 0 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
08 Dec 2020 AFC Wimbledon 3–0 Arsenal U21 EFL Trophy

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Mansfield Town Home 0–3 L
17/10 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–5 L
10/10 Plymouth Away 1–2 L
26/09 Cambridge United Away 1–1 D
17/09 Milton Keynes Dons Home 0–0 D

Arsenal U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Sunderland U21 Home 2–2 D
18/09 Birmingham City U21 Away 0–0 D
15/09 Leyton Orient Away 2–1 W
12/09 Chelsea U21 Home 1–4 L
31/08 Brighton U21 Away 2–2 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” EFL Trophy

AFC Wimbledon

Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards3
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Arsenal U21

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.00
xG against (avg)0.00
Corners for (avg)3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AFC WimbledonArsenal U21
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
3
3
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.79
0.00
xG against (avg)
1.06
0.00
Corners for (avg)
5.30
3.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Wimbledon

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Arsenal U21

1
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws