Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Barnsley vs Oldham

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group North - 7 • Oakwell • ☁️ 7.9°C, 3 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.6% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available74.4% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available59.9% · No 40.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available57.6% · Under 42.4% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.8 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available70.5% · Under 29.5% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Barnsley 48.6% · Draw 25.6% · Oldham 25.8%. Selected outcome: Barnsley win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Barnsley 1.76, Oldham 1.24, expected total 3.00.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Barnsley: D-L-L-L-L in their last five matches.
Oldham: L-D-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Oldham 1–2 Barnsley, 04 Sep 2018.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Barnsley

Form (last 5)
DLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)4.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.23
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Elo strength rating—

Oldham

Form (last 5)
LDLWW
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Elo strength rating1368
BarnsleyOldham
DLLLL
LDLWW
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
4.00
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
1
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.23
1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.45
Elo strength rating
—
1368

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Barnsley

Winless 10
BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Oldham

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: EFL Trophy

Barnsley

Best BTTS rate (100%, last 6)

Oldham

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Barnsley at home · Oldham away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Barnsley (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Oldham (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Barnsley (home)Oldham (away)
L 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
4.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.6%
2–0
7.76%
1–0
7.71%
3–1
5.64%
3–0
4.56%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Barnsley 5 wins · 0 draws · Oldham 0 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 4 of 5

5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Sep 2018 Oldham 1–2 Barnsley EFL Trophy
12 Apr 2016 Barnsley 2–1 Oldham League One
21 Nov 2015 Oldham 1–2 Barnsley League One
14 Mar 2015 Oldham 1–3 Barnsley League One
03 Feb 2015 Barnsley 1–0 Oldham League One

📈 Recent Form

Barnsley

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Oxford United Home 1–1 D
24/10 Reading Away 1–2 L
20/10 Luton Away 1–2 L
17/10 Cambridge United Home 1–2 L
10/10 Stockport County Away 1–3 L
06/10 Fleetwood Town Away 1–4 L
22/09 Leeds United U21 Home 3–4 L
19/09 Leicester Home 1–1 D
12/09 Plymouth Away 0–3 L
05/09 Stevenage Home 1–5 L

Oldham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Crawley Town Home 0–1 L
24/10 Barnet Away 1–1 D
20/10 Walsall Away 0–3 L
17/10 Cheltenham Home 4–1 W
13/10 Leeds United U21 Home 4–2 W
10/10 Accrington ST Home 0–0 D
26/09 Salford City Home 1–4 L
22/09 Fleetwood Town Home 1–0 W
19/09 Rochdale Away 0–2 L
12/09 Chesterfield Home 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Barnsley

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.23
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Corners for (avg)7.90
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Oldham

Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards1
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
BarnsleyOldham
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
4.00
1.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.23
1.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.45
Corners for (avg)
7.90
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Barnsley

0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Oldham

0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws