Predictions β†’ England EFL Trophy

Cambridge United vs Brighton U21

Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 β€’ 19:00 UTC+3 β€’ Group South - 7 β€’ Abbey Stadium β€’ ☁️ 9.7Β°C, 10 km/h overcast

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home β€”85% 58.6% β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X β€”78% 81.4% β€” β€”
BTTS No β€”80% 47.6% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 β€”81% 48.8% β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 β€”73% 13.1% β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) Over 9.5 β€”64% 54.8% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Cambridge United 1.51 – 0.68 Brighton U21 Β· expected total 2.19

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Cambridge United

Form (last 5)
DWycombe (H) 2–2 Β· 20/10/2026WBarnsley (A) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WBlackpool (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026WNorthampton (H) 2–1 Β· 06/10/2026DAFC Wimbledon (H) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.67
xG against (recent avg)0.31

Brighton U21

Form (last 5)
DAFC Bournemouth U21 (H) 3–3 Β· 18/10/2026LGillingham (A) 3–4 Β· 13/10/2026WSheffield United U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 09/10/2026LLiverpool U21 (A) 1–5 Β· 19/09/2026WParis Saint-Germain U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 16/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.00
xG against (recent avg)0.00
Cambridge UnitedBrighton U21
DWycombe (H) 2–2 Β· 20/10/2026WBarnsley (A) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WBlackpool (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026WNorthampton (H) 2–1 Β· 06/10/2026DAFC Wimbledon (H) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026
DAFC Bournemouth U21 (H) 3–3 Β· 18/10/2026LGillingham (A) 3–4 Β· 13/10/2026WSheffield United U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 09/10/2026LLiverpool U21 (A) 1–5 Β· 19/09/2026WParis Saint-Germain U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 16/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
3.00
3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.00
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.67
0.00
xG against (recent avg)
0.31
0.00

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Cambridge United

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Brighton U21

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” EFL Trophy

Cambridge United

3rd best BTTS rate (83%)

Brighton U21

3rd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Cambridge United at home Β· Brighton U21 away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Cambridge United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Brighton U21 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Cambridge United (home)Brighton U21 (away)
W 1
W 1
L 1
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
13.1%
2–0
10.6%
2–1
7.2%
3–0
5.3%
3–1
3.6%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Brighton U21 0 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Cambridge United 1 win Β· avg 1 goals Β· BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
05 Nov 2025 Cambridge United 1–0 Brighton U21 EFL Trophy

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Cambridge United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Wycombe Home 2–2 D
17/10 Barnsley Away 2–1 W
10/10 Blackpool Home 1–0 W
06/10 Northampton Home 2–1 W
26/09 AFC Wimbledon Home 1–1 D

Brighton U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 AFC Bournemouth U21 Home 3–3 D
13/10 Gillingham Away 3–4 L
09/10 Sheffield United U21 Home 2–1 W
19/09 Liverpool U21 Away 1–5 L
16/09 Paris Saint-Germain U21 Home 2–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” EFL Trophy

Cambridge United

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.67
xG against (avg)0.31
Corners for (avg)8.40
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Brighton U21

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.00
xG against (avg)0.00
Corners for (avg)1.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Cambridge UnitedBrighton U21
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
3.00
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
3
2
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.67
0.00
xG against (avg)
0.31
0.00
Corners for (avg)
8.40
1.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Cambridge United

0-15
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Brighton U21

0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws