Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town vs Chesterfield

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group North - 4 • One Call Stadium • ☁️ 8°C, 2 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available48.8% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available75.8% —
BTTS No Current price not available45.6% · Yes 54.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available49.1% · Over 50.9% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available9.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.4 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available62.9% · Under 37.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Mansfield Town 48.8% · Draw 27.0% · Chesterfield 24.2%. Selected outcome: Mansfield Town win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Mansfield Town 1.63, Chesterfield 1.09, expected total 2.72.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Mansfield Town: L-W-W-D-W in their last five matches.
Chesterfield: L-W-D-L-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Chesterfield 0–2 Mansfield Town, 12 Aug 2025.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Mansfield Town

Form (last 5)
LWWDW
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)3.00
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.96

Chesterfield

Form (last 5)
LWDLD
Goals scored (season avg)3.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
Mansfield TownChesterfield
LWWDW
LWDLD
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
3.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
3.00
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.40
2.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.96
1.25

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Mansfield Town

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Chesterfield

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Mansfield Town at home · Chesterfield away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Mansfield Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)4.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Chesterfield (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Mansfield Town (home)Chesterfield (away)
L 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
4.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
9.63%
2–1
9.56%
2–0
8.8%
3–1
5.19%
3–0
4.78%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chesterfield 1 win · 2 draws · Mansfield Town 3 wins · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 6

1
2
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 Aug 2025 Chesterfield 0–2 Mansfield Town League Cup
14 Apr 2018 Chesterfield 0–1 Mansfield Town League Two
25 Nov 2017 Mansfield Town 2–2 Chesterfield League Two
22 Mar 2014 Mansfield Town 0–0 Chesterfield League Two
08 Oct 2013 Mansfield Town 0–1 Chesterfield EFL Trophy
28 Sep 2013 Chesterfield 0–1 Mansfield Town League Two

📈 Recent Form

Mansfield Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Notts County Home 0–2 L
24/10 Blackpool Away 4–1 W
20/10 AFC Wimbledon Away 3–0 W
15/10 Oxford United Home 1–1 D
10/10 Bromley Home 2–1 W
06/10 Port Vale Away 0–2 L
19/09 Burton Albion Away 2–2 D
12/09 Huddersfield Home 0–0 D
05/09 Bradford Away 0–1 L
02/09 Reading Away 0–5 L

Chesterfield

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Newport County Away 1–4 L
24/10 Crewe Home 5–1 W
20/10 Colchester Home 1–1 D
17/10 Port Vale Away 0–1 L
10/10 Crawley Town Away 2–2 D
03/10 Tranmere Home 4–2 W
26/09 Cheltenham Away 1–2 L
19/09 York Home 2–0 W
15/09 Manchester City U21 Home 5–3 W
12/09 Oldham Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Mansfield Town

Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.40
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.96
Corners for (avg)6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Chesterfield

Played2
Goals scored (avg)3.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.25
Corners for (avg)8.30
Penalties (scored/missed)4/1
Mansfield TownChesterfield
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
3.50
Goals conceded (avg)
3.00
2.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
3
2
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.40
2.97
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.96
1.25
Corners for (avg)
6.50
8.30
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
4/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Mansfield Town

1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Chesterfield

0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws