Northampton vs Gillingham
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group South - 7 • Sixfields Stadium • ☁️ 8.8°C, 3 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.4% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.7% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 59.2% · No 40.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Under 44% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.4% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.1 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 69.7% · Over 30.3% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Northampton 46.4% · Draw 26.3% · Gillingham 27.3%. Selected outcome: Northampton win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Northampton 1.68, Gillingham 1.25, expected total 2.93.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Northampton: D-W-L-W-D in their last five matches.
Gillingham: W-L-D-L-W in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Gillingham 1–1 Northampton, 29 Aug 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Northampton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Northampton
Gillingham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: EFL Trophy
Northampton
Gillingham
Rank among 40 EFL Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Northampton at home · Gillingham away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Northampton (home)
Gillingham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Gillingham 3 wins · 3 draws · Northampton 4 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Northampton | League Two |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Northampton | 2–1 | Gillingham | League Two |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Gillingham | 0–2 | Northampton | League Two |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Gillingham | 2–2 | Northampton | League One |
| 29 Dec 2020 | Northampton | 3–1 | Gillingham | League One |
| 13 Feb 2018 | Northampton | 1–2 | Gillingham | League One |
| 21 Oct 2017 | Gillingham | 1–2 | Northampton | League One |
| 30 Apr 2017 | Northampton | 0–0 | Gillingham | League One |
| 12 Nov 2016 | Gillingham | 2–1 | Northampton | League One |
| 29 Jan 2013 | Gillingham | 2–0 | Northampton | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Northampton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Accrington ST | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Colchester | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Tranmere | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Grimsby | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | York | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/10 | Cambridge United | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Rotherham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Shrewsbury | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 05/09 | Newport County | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 01/09 | Crawley Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
Gillingham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Shrewsbury | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Grimsby | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 20/10 | Port Vale | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Accrington ST | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 13/10 | Brighton U21 | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 10/10 | Rotherham | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Newport County | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 26/09 | York | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 22/09 | Cambridge United | Home | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Bristol Rovers | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy
Northampton
Gillingham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Northampton
Gillingham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws