Predictions → England EFL Trophy

Grimsby vs Nottingham Forest U21

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:00 UTC+3 • Group North - 6 • Blundell Park • ⛅ 8.4°C, 1 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available49.1% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available75.2% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.8% · No 42.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available55.3% · Under 44.7% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.6% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.9 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available53.3% · Under 46.7% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Grimsby 49.1% · Draw 26.1% · Nottingham Forest U21 24.8%. Selected outcome: Grimsby win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Grimsby 1.73, Nottingham Forest U21 1.17, expected total 2.90.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Grimsby: W-W-D-L-L in their last five matches.
Nottingham Forest U21: L-W-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Grimsby

Form (last 5)
WWDLL
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.01
Elo strength rating—

Nottingham Forest U21

Form (last 5)
WLLWL
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)3.00
Best league winning streak this season—
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Elo strength rating1323
GrimsbyNottingham Forest U21
WWDLL
WLLWL
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
3.00
Best league winning streak this season
1
—
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.86
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.01
—
Elo strength rating
—
1323

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Grimsby

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Nottingham Forest U21

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Grimsby at home · Nottingham Forest U21 away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Grimsby (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–0L
D 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Nottingham Forest U21 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Grimsby (home)Nottingham Forest U21 (away)
D 1
W 1
L 1
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.65%
1–0
8.41%
2–0
8.23%
3–1
5.55%
3–0
4.73%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Grimsby

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 York Home 5–2 W
24/10 Gillingham Away 4–1 W
20/10 Rochdale Away 2–2 D
17/10 Northampton Home 0–2 L
10/10 Port Vale Away 0–1 L
03/10 Shrewsbury Home 1–2 L
26/09 Newport County Away 1–2 L
22/09 Notts County Away 1–2 L
19/09 Crawley Town Home 2–0 W
12/09 Bristol Rovers Home 2–0 W

Nottingham Forest U21

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/10 Luton Town U21 Away 3–2 W
24/10 Reading U21 Away 1–2 L
20/10 Wealdstone Away 0–1 L
16/10 Manchester United U21 Home 3–2 W
13/10 Notts County Away 1–5 L
09/10 Peterborough United U21 Away 5–1 W
30/09 Sporting CP B Home 2–4 L
18/09 West Bromwich Albion U21 Away 3–1 W
14/09 Burnley U21 Home 1–0 W
08/09 Scunthorpe Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: EFL Trophy

Grimsby

Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.86
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.01
Corners for (avg)5.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Nottingham Forest U21

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards1
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)—
Corners for (avg)4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
GrimsbyNottingham Forest U21
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
1
0
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.86
—
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.01
—
Corners for (avg)
5.20
4.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Grimsby

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Nottingham Forest U21

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: EFL Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws