Predictions → England League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Plough Lane

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Double Chance — 1X
Model 66.8% · Market best price ≈ 60.6% · Edge +6.2 pp
Best odds 1.65 Betano 1.65Marathonbet 1.581xBet 1.58
Bet this pick →
¼ Kelly sizing: 2.1% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 3.45 → 3.6 ▲4% 61% 27.1% 3.60 Betfair 26.3% +0.8 pp
Double Chance 1X 66% 64.2% 1.65 Betano 58% +6.2 pp
BTTS Yes 79% 44.8% 1.67 Bet365 56.5% -11.7 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.1% 2.02 Pinnacle 47.8% +4.3 pp
Correct Score 1-1 71% 11.8% 6.80 Betano 7.4% +4.4 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.5% 1.82 Betano 54.3% +0.2 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 1.25 – 1.18 Mansfield Town · expected total 2.43

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

AFC Wimbledon

Form (last 5)
LSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–5 · 17/10/2026LPlymouth (A) 1–2 · 10/10/2026DCambridge United (A) 1–1 · 26/09/2026DMilton Keynes Dons (H) 0–0 · 17/09/2026WDoncaster (H) 1–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.79
xG against (recent avg)1.06
Elo strength rating1342

Mansfield Town

Form (last 5)
DOxford United (H) 1–1 · 15/10/2026WBromley (H) 2–1 · 10/10/2026LPort Vale (A) 0–2 · 06/10/2026DBurton Albion (A) 2–2 · 19/09/2026DHuddersfield (H) 0–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.94
xG against (recent avg)0.78
Elo strength rating1535
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
Goals scored (season avg)
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.70
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.79
1.94
xG against (recent avg)
1.06
0.78
Elo strength rating
1342
1535

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

AFC Wimbledon

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Mansfield Town

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League One

AFC Wimbledon

2nd worst attack (0.70 goals/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Mansfield Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Wimbledon at home · Mansfield Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Wimbledon (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–0L
W 2
D 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Mansfield Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
AFC Wimbledon (home)Mansfield Town (away)
W 2
D 2
D 1
L 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.50
Clean sheets
4
0
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.8%
0–0
8.3%
2–2
4%
3–3
0.7%
4–4
0.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

AFC Wimbledon 2 wins · 4 draws · Mansfield Town 4 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10

2
4
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
28 Feb 2026 Mansfield Town 2–2 AFC Wimbledon League One
13 Dec 2025 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Mansfield Town League One
27 Jan 2024 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Mansfield Town League Two
07 Oct 2023 Mansfield Town 0–0 AFC Wimbledon League Two
04 Mar 2023 AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Mansfield Town League Two
16 Aug 2022 Mansfield Town 5–2 AFC Wimbledon League Two
16 Jan 2016 AFC Wimbledon 3–1 Mansfield Town League Two
05 Sep 2015 Mansfield Town 1–1 AFC Wimbledon League Two
17 Mar 2015 Mansfield Town 2–1 AFC Wimbledon League Two
20 Dec 2014 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Mansfield Town League Two

📈 Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–5 L
10/10 Plymouth Away 1–2 L
26/09 Cambridge United Away 1–1 D
17/09 Milton Keynes Dons Home 0–0 D
12/09 Doncaster Home 1–0 W

Mansfield Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15/10 Oxford United Home 1–1 D
10/10 Bromley Home 2–1 W
06/10 Port Vale Away 0–2 L
19/09 Burton Albion Away 2–2 D
12/09 Huddersfield Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison — League One

AFC Wimbledon #15 · 12 pts —  Mansfield Town #13 · 12 pts

AFC Wimbledon

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Mansfield Town

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–3L
W 3
D 3
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards21
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.94
xG against (avg)0.78
Corners for (avg)6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AFC WimbledonMansfield Town
W 3
D 3
L 4
W 3
D 3
L 3
Played
10
9
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.70
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
16
21
Red cards
0
1
xG for (avg)
0.79
1.94
xG against (avg)
1.06
0.78
Corners for (avg)
5.30
6.50
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Wimbledon

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
61-75
1
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Mansfield Town

0-15
3
16-30
5
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
61-75
2
4
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws