Predictions β†’ England League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 13 β€’ The Cherry Red Records Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 69% 28.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 67% 65.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 79% 45% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 53.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 71% 12% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.5 exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Wimbledon 1.20 – 1.09 Wycombe Β· expected total 2.28

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

AFC Wimbledon

Form (last 5)
LSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–5 Β· 17/10/2026LPlymouth (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026DCambridge United (A) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026DMilton Keynes Dons (H) 0–0 Β· 17/09/2026WDoncaster (H) 1–0 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.79
xG against (recent avg)1.06
Elo strength rating1342

Wycombe

Form (last 5)
LLuton (H) 1–4 Β· 10/10/2026WBristol Rovers (H) 4–1 Β· 06/10/2026DReading (H) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026WWigan (A) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026WChelsea U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.91
xG against (recent avg)0.92
Elo strength rating1498
AFC WimbledonWycombe
LLuton (H) 1–4 Β· 10/10/2026WBristol Rovers (H) 4–1 Β· 06/10/2026DReading (H) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026WWigan (A) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026WChelsea U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
2.20
Win streak (best this season)
2
2
xG for (recent avg)
0.79
0.91
xG against (recent avg)
1.06
0.92
Elo strength rating
1342
1498

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

AFC Wimbledon

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Wycombe

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” League One

AFC Wimbledon

2nd worst attack (0.70 goals/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Wycombe

2nd worst defence (2.20 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Wimbledon at home Β· Wycombe away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Wimbledon (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–0L
W 2
D 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Wycombe (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
AFC Wimbledon (home)Wycombe (away)
W 2
D 2
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
2.00
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
12%
0–0
9.5%
2–2
3.5%
3–3
0.5%
4–4
0%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

AFC Wimbledon 4 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Wycombe 2 wins Β· avg 2.1 goals Β· BTTS in 5 of 9

4
3
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Jan 2026 Wycombe 2–0 AFC Wimbledon League One
27 Sep 2025 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Wycombe League One
20 Aug 2024 AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wycombe EFL Trophy
18 Nov 2023 Wycombe 1–0 AFC Wimbledon EFL Trophy
18 Apr 2022 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Wycombe League One
11 Dec 2021 Wycombe 2–2 AFC Wimbledon League One
31 Aug 2019 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Wycombe League One
27 Apr 2019 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Wycombe League One
22 Dec 2018 Wycombe 1–2 AFC Wimbledon League One

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–5 L
10/10 Plymouth Away 1–2 L
26/09 Cambridge United Away 1–1 D
17/09 Milton Keynes Dons Home 0–0 D
12/09 Doncaster Home 1–0 W

Wycombe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Luton Home 1–4 L
06/10 Bristol Rovers Home 4–1 W
26/09 Reading Home 2–2 D
19/09 Wigan Away 1–0 W
15/09 Chelsea U21 Home 2–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” League One

AFC Wimbledon #15 Β· 12 pts β€”  Wycombe #11 Β· 13 pts

AFC Wimbledon

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–4L
W 3
D 3
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets5
Failed to score4
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.79
xG against (avg)1.06
Corners for (avg)5.30
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Wycombe

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–3L
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards11
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.91
xG against (avg)0.92
Corners for (avg)4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AFC WimbledonWycombe
W 3
D 3
L 4
W 3
D 4
L 3
Played
10
10
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.20
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
16
11
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.79
0.91
xG against (avg)
1.06
0.92
Corners for (avg)
5.30
4.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Wimbledon

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
61-75
1
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Wycombe

1
0-15
4
5
16-30
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws