Burton Albion vs Bradford
Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Pirelli Stadium
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🎯 PredictLix Predictions
| Market | Tip | Confidence | Probability | Odds | Bookmaker | Market implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 2.15 → 2.08 ▼3% | 78% | 40.1% | 2.08 | Dafabet | 47.5% | -7.4 pp |
| Double Chance | 12 | 70% | 70.5% | 1.33 | William Hill | 73.2% | -2.7 pp |
| BTTS | Yes | 83% | 53.5% | 1.80 | William Hill | 52.6% | +0.9 pp |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 52.3% | 2.06 | Pinnacle | 46.6% | +5.7 pp |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | 61% | 6.1% | 9.00 | Bet365 | 5.5% | +0.6 pp |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | 66% | 56.6% | 1.78 | Pinnacle | 53.2% | +3.4 pp |
⚽ Model expected goals: Burton Albion 1.57 – 1.39 Bradford · expected total 2.97
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Burton Albion
Bradford
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Burton Albion
Bradford
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks — League One
Burton Albion
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Bradford
Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Burton Albion at home · Bradford away — the split that matters for this fixture.
Burton Albion (home)
Bradford (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scorelines
The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bradford 4 wins · 1 draw · Burton Albion 5 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Burton Albion | 2–1 | Bradford | League One |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Bradford | 1–2 | Burton Albion | League One |
| 18 Oct 2022 | Burton Albion | 4–0 | Bradford | EFL Trophy |
| 26 Jan 2019 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Bradford | League One |
| 21 Aug 2018 | Bradford | 1–0 | Burton Albion | League One |
| 08 Mar 2016 | Bradford | 2–0 | Burton Albion | League One |
| 06 Feb 2016 | Burton Albion | 3–1 | Bradford | League One |
| 05 May 2013 | Burton Albion | 1–3 | Bradford | League Two |
| 02 May 2013 | Bradford | 2–3 | Burton Albion | League Two |
| 20 Apr 2013 | Bradford | 1–0 | Burton Albion | League Two |
📈 Recent Form
Burton Albion
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Peterborough | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Doncaster | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 03/10 | Huddersfield | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Plymouth | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Mansfield Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
Bradford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Stevenage | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Leyton Orient | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 06/10 | Rotherham | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Reading | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 22/09 | Newcastle United U21 | Home | 2–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison — League One
Burton Albion #10 · 13 pts — Bradford #1 · 20 pts
Burton Albion
Bradford
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Burton Albion
Bradford
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws