Predictions β†’ England League One

Oxford United vs Bradford

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 13 β€’ Kassam Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 40.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 12 70% 70.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 82% 50.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 48.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.1 exp.) Over 9.5 64% 55.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Oxford United 1.61 – 1.32 Bradford Β· expected total 2.93

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Oxford United

Form (last 5)
DMansfield Town (A) 1–1 Β· 15/10/2026WNotts County (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026DCambridge United (H) 1–1 Β· 19/09/2026WBurton Albion (H) 3–0 Β· 12/09/2026WLeicester (A) 4–0 Β· 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.21
xG against (recent avg)1.55
Elo strength rating1423

Bradford

Form (last 5)
WStevenage (H) 2–0 Β· 17/10/2026DLeyton Orient (H) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026WRotherham (A) 4–0 Β· 06/10/2026DReading (A) 1–1 Β· 03/10/2026WNewcastle United U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 22/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)0.57
xG against (recent avg)0.33
Elo strength rating1688
Oxford UnitedBradford
WStevenage (H) 2–0 Β· 17/10/2026DLeyton Orient (H) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026WRotherham (A) 4–0 Β· 06/10/2026DReading (A) 1–1 Β· 03/10/2026WNewcastle United U21 (H) 2–1 Β· 22/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
0.50
Win streak (best this season)
2
3
xG for (recent avg)
1.21
0.57
xG against (recent avg)
1.55
0.33
Elo strength rating
1423
1688

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Oxford United

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Bradford

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” League One

Oxford United

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Bradford

Best defence (0.50 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (7)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Oxford United at home Β· Bradford away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Oxford United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–0L
W 1
D 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Bradford (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Oxford United (home)Bradford (away)
W 1
D 2
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
3
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.60
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.2%
1–0
5.9%
2–0
5.5%
3–1
3.9%
3–0
2.9%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Bradford 5 wins Β· 1 draw Β· Oxford United 4 wins Β· avg 2.5 goals Β· BTTS in 5 of 10

5
1
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
16 Mar 2019 Oxford United 1–0 Bradford League One
24 Nov 2018 Bradford 2–0 Oxford United League One
30 Dec 2017 Bradford 3–2 Oxford United League One
12 Sep 2017 Oxford United 2–2 Bradford League One
14 Apr 2017 Bradford 1–0 Oxford United League One
31 Jan 2017 Oxford United 2–1 Bradford EFL Trophy
15 Oct 2016 Oxford United 1–0 Bradford League One
12 Jan 2013 Bradford 1–2 Oxford United League Two
22 Sep 2012 Oxford United 0–2 Bradford League Two
10 Mar 2012 Bradford 2–1 Oxford United League Two

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Oxford United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15/10 Mansfield Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Notts County Away 2–1 W
19/09 Cambridge United Home 1–1 D
12/09 Burton Albion Home 3–0 W
05/09 Leicester Away 4–0 W

Bradford

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Stevenage Home 2–0 W
10/10 Leyton Orient Home 0–0 D
06/10 Rotherham Away 4–0 W
03/10 Reading Away 1–1 D
22/09 Newcastle United U21 Home 2–1 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” League One

Oxford United #8 Β· 15 pts β€”  Bradford #1 Β· 20 pts

Oxford United

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards16
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.21
xG against (avg)1.55
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Bradford

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–2L
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets7
Failed to score2
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.57
xG against (avg)0.33
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Oxford UnitedBradford
W 4
D 3
L 1
W 6
D 2
L 2
Played
8
10
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.50
Clean sheets
2
7
Failed to score
0
2
Yellow cards
16
21
Red cards
2
0
xG for (avg)
1.21
0.57
xG against (avg)
1.55
0.33
Corners for (avg)
3.70
6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Oxford United

0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Bradford

0-15
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws