Predictions → England League One

Bromley vs Leicester

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Hayes Lane

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Over/Under 2.5 — Under 2.5
Model 51.3% · Market best price ≈ 38.6% · Edge +13.8 pp
Best odds 2.59 Pinnacle 2.59Betano 2.47Bet365 2.40
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¼ Kelly sizing: 5.1% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 1.79 → 1.76 ▼2% 83% 53.1% 1.76 Dafabet 57% -3.9 pp
Double Chance X2 69% 69.2% 1.26 Betano 78.8% -9.6 pp
BTTS No 80% 47.8% 2.45 BetVictor 38.4% +9.4 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 50.9% 2.59 Pinnacle 37.1% +13.8 pp
Correct Score 0-1 67% 9.5% 11.00 Bet365 4.7% +4.8 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~13.3 exp.) Over 9.5 69% 59.2% 1.39 1xBet 67.6% -8.4 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Bromley 1.00 – 1.26 Leicester · expected total 2.27

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bromley

Form (last 5)
LMansfield Town (A) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LCrawley Town (A) 0–4 · 06/10/2026LBrentford U21 (H) 0–1 · 22/09/2026WHuddersfield (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026DBlackpool (A) 2–2 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.48
xG against (recent avg)1.26
Elo strength rating1282

Leicester

Form (last 5)
WDoncaster (H) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LPeterborough (H) 1–3 · 10/10/2026LStevenage (A) 1–2 · 06/10/2026WFulham U21 (H) 6–1 · 22/09/2026DBarnsley (A) 1–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.22
xG against (recent avg)0.89
Elo strength rating1375
BromleyLeicester
LMansfield Town (A) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LCrawley Town (A) 0–4 · 06/10/2026LBrentford U21 (H) 0–1 · 22/09/2026WHuddersfield (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026DBlackpool (A) 2–2 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.50
1.70
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.48
1.22
xG against (recent avg)
1.26
0.89
Elo strength rating
1282
1375

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bromley

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Leicester

BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League One

Bromley

Worst defence (2.50 conceded/game)

Leicester

Best BTTS rate (100%) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bromley at home · Leicester away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Bromley (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2

Leicester (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–0L
W 1
D 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Bromley (home)Leicester (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 3
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.30
1.30
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

0–1
9.5%
1–2
6.7%
0–2
6.7%
1–3
2.8%
0–3
2.8%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

Bromley

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Mansfield Town Away 1–2 L
06/10 Crawley Town Away 0–4 L
22/09 Brentford U21 Home 0–1 L
19/09 Huddersfield Home 2–1 W
12/09 Blackpool Away 2–2 D

Leicester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Doncaster Home 2–1 W
10/10 Peterborough Home 1–3 L
06/10 Stevenage Away 1–2 L
22/09 Fulham U21 Home 6–1 W
19/09 Barnsley Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — League One

Bromley #22 · 8 pts —  Leicester #14 · 12 pts

Bromley

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–5L
W 2
D 2
L 5
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards16
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.48
xG against (avg)1.26
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Leicester

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–3L
W 3
D 3
L 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards15
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.22
xG against (avg)0.89
Corners for (avg)8.60
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
BromleyLeicester
W 2
D 2
L 5
W 3
D 3
L 3
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.70
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
16
15
Red cards
0
1
xG for (avg)
0.48
1.22
xG against (avg)
1.26
0.89
Corners for (avg)
5.10
8.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bromley

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
7
46-60
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
2
scored conceded

Leicester

3
0-15
2
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
2
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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