Predictions β†’ England League One

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 13 β€’ Pirelli Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 39.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 69% 69.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 79% 46% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 64% 8.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.3 exp.) Over 9.5 65% 55.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Burton Albion 1.41 – 1.10 Leyton Orient Β· expected total 2.50

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Burton Albion

Form (last 5)
DPeterborough (A) 2–2 Β· 17/10/2026LDoncaster (A) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026LHuddersfield (H) 1–3 Β· 03/10/2026WPlymouth (A) 1–0 Β· 26/09/2026DMansfield Town (H) 2–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.60
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.49
xG against (recent avg)1.27
Elo strength rating1381

Leyton Orient

Form (last 5)
DBradford (A) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026LPlymouth (H) 0–2 Β· 03/10/2026WStevenage (H) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026LArsenal U21 (H) 1–2 Β· 15/09/2026LWycombe (H) 2–3 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.53
xG against (recent avg)1.23
Elo strength rating1388
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.60
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.49
0.53
xG against (recent avg)
1.27
1.23
Elo strength rating
1381
1388

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Burton Albion

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Leyton Orient

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” League One

Burton Albion

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Leyton Orient

3rd best clean sheets (4)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Burton Albion at home Β· Leyton Orient away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Burton Albion (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–3D–1L
W 1
D 3
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Leyton Orient (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–0L
W 2
D 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Burton Albion (home)Leyton Orient (away)
W 1
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 2
Played
5
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
0.30
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.1%
2–1
7%
2–0
6.4%
3–1
3.3%
3–0
3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Burton Albion 2 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Leyton Orient 1 win Β· avg 2.3 goals Β· BTTS in 3 of 6

2
3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
02 May 2026 Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion League One
29 Nov 2025 Burton Albion 0–4 Leyton Orient League One
01 Apr 2025 Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient League One
14 Dec 2024 Leyton Orient 0–0 Burton Albion League One
17 Feb 2024 Leyton Orient 1–2 Burton Albion League One
28 Oct 2023 Burton Albion 0–0 Leyton Orient League One

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Burton Albion

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Peterborough Away 2–2 D
10/10 Doncaster Away 0–1 L
03/10 Huddersfield Home 1–3 L
26/09 Plymouth Away 1–0 W
19/09 Mansfield Town Home 2–2 D

Leyton Orient

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Bradford Away 0–0 D
03/10 Plymouth Home 0–2 L
19/09 Stevenage Home 1–0 W
15/09 Arsenal U21 Home 1–2 L
12/09 Wycombe Home 2–3 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” League One

Burton Albion #10 Β· 13 pts β€”  Leyton Orient #9 Β· 14 pts

Burton Albion

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–4L
W 3
D 4
L 4
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards18
Red cards1
xG for (avg)0.49
xG against (avg)1.27
Corners for (avg)5.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Leyton Orient

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.53
xG against (avg)1.23
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient
W 3
D 4
L 4
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played
11
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
1.20
Clean sheets
1
4
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
18
20
Red cards
1
0
xG for (avg)
0.49
0.53
xG against (avg)
1.27
1.23
Corners for (avg)
5.80
4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Burton Albion

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
7
76-90
3
scored conceded

Leyton Orient

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws