Predictions β†’ England League One

Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United

Next match: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 β€’ 12:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 14 β€’ Brisbane Road β€’ β›… 13.9Β°C, 1 km/h partly cloudy

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipOddsConfidenceProbabilityMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw β€”57% 26.6% β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X β€”66% 64.2% β€” β€”
BTTS Yes β€”84% 54.8% β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 β€”77% 41.9% β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 β€”67% 9.5% β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.3 exp.) Over 9.5 β€”67% 57.6% β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Leyton Orient 1.65 – 1.47 Cambridge United Β· expected total 3.12

🧠 Match Preview

Leyton Orient host Cambridge United at Brisbane Road on Saturday with the two sides in very different moods. The visitors sit 4th on 20 points from 11 games, while Orient are 12th on 14 points from 10, so this is a chance for the away side to keep pace at the top and for the hosts to close the gap on the play-off picture.

The model sees a tight contest. Cambridge arrive unbeaten in five (DWWWD) and their recent attacking output of 1.61 expected goals reflects that, against Orient's more modest 0.62. The season-long goal expectations are closer, at 1.6483 for the hosts and 1.473 for the away side, and with no injuries listed on either side, both managers have full squads to choose from. Orient's form of WDLWL is patchy, and the head-to-head record is mixed, with the last meeting finishing 1-2 to Orient in April 2025.

The headline tip is a draw at 26.6 percent with a confidence of 57, and the double chance 1X at 64.2 percent is the safer route. Both teams to score lands at 54.8 percent, while under 2.5 goals is favoured at 41.9 percent. The correct-score model points to 1-1 at 9.5 percent, with 2-2 at 6.51 and 0-0 at 5.49. Corners look lively: an expected 12.3 and 57.6 percent for over 9.5.

Value may hide in the draw and the 1X line if the bookmakers price Cambridge's form too heavily. The honest caveat is the low draw probability itself: 26.6 percent is a thin edge, and Cambridge's unbeaten run makes the away side a real threat.

Updated 21 Oct 2026, 04:10 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Leyton Orient

Form (last 5)
WBlackpool (H) 2–0 Β· 17/10/2026DBradford (A) 0–0 Β· 10/10/2026LPlymouth (H) 0–2 Β· 03/10/2026WStevenage (H) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026LArsenal U21 (H) 1–2 Β· 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.53
xG against (recent avg)1.23
Elo strength rating1381

Cambridge United

Form (last 5)
DWycombe (H) 2–2 Β· 20/10/2026WBarnsley (A) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WBlackpool (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026WNorthampton (H) 2–1 Β· 06/10/2026DAFC Wimbledon (H) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.67
xG against (recent avg)0.31
Elo strength rating1429
Leyton OrientCambridge United
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.53
0.67
xG against (recent avg)
1.23
0.31
Elo strength rating
1381
1429

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Leyton Orient

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Cambridge United

Unbeaten 10
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” League One

Leyton Orient

2nd best clean sheets (5)

Cambridge United

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Leyton Orient at home Β· Cambridge United away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Leyton Orient (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–4L
W 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Cambridge United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Leyton Orient (home)Cambridge United (away)
W 2
L 4
W 2
D 3
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
1.20
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
9.5%
2–2
5.2%
0–0
4.4%
3–3
1.4%
4–4
0.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Cambridge United 3 wins Β· 1 draw Β· Leyton Orient 6 wins Β· avg 3.1 goals Β· BTTS in 6 of 10

3
1
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
21 Apr 2025 Cambridge United 1–2 Leyton Orient League One
29 Dec 2024 Leyton Orient 2–0 Cambridge United League One
01 Jan 2024 Cambridge United 0–2 Leyton Orient League One
26 Aug 2023 Leyton Orient 2–0 Cambridge United League One
20 Apr 2021 Leyton Orient 2–4 Cambridge United League Two
26 Dec 2020 Cambridge United 2–1 Leyton Orient League Two
07 Mar 2020 Leyton Orient 2–1 Cambridge United League Two
21 Dec 2019 Cambridge United 2–3 Leyton Orient League Two
08 Apr 2017 Cambridge United 3–0 Leyton Orient League Two
31 Dec 2016 Leyton Orient 1–1 Cambridge United League Two

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Leyton Orient

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Blackpool Home 2–0 W
10/10 Bradford Away 0–0 D
03/10 Plymouth Home 0–2 L
19/09 Stevenage Home 1–0 W
15/09 Arsenal U21 Home 1–2 L

Cambridge United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20/10 Wycombe Home 2–2 D
17/10 Barnsley Away 2–1 W
10/10 Blackpool Home 1–0 W
06/10 Northampton Home 2–1 W
26/09 AFC Wimbledon Home 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” League One

Leyton Orient #12 Β· 14 pts β€”  Cambridge United #4 Β· 20 pts

Leyton Orient

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–4L
W 4
D 2
L 4
Played10
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets5
Failed to score2
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.53
xG against (avg)1.23
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Cambridge United

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–5D–1L
W 5
D 5
L 1
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.67
xG against (avg)0.31
Corners for (avg)8.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Leyton OrientCambridge United
W 4
D 2
L 4
W 5
D 5
L 1
Played
10
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.20
Clean sheets
5
1
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
21
20
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.53
0.67
xG against (avg)
1.23
0.31
Corners for (avg)
4.20
8.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Leyton Orient

2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Cambridge United

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
5
2
61-75
3
5
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws