Predictions → England League One

Doncaster vs Stockport County

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Keepmoat Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 2.04 → 1.95 ▼4% 81% 49.3% 1.95 William Hill 51.6% -2.3 pp
Double Chance 12 70% 70.8% 1.29 William Hill 76.7% -5.9 pp
BTTS Yes 81% 48.9% 1.60 Betfair 59% -10.1 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80% 47.3% 1.67 Betano 57.4% -10.1 pp
Correct Score 1-2 63% 7.3% 8.75 Betano 5.8% +1.5 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~12.1 exp.) Over 9.5 67% 57.2% 1.75 Betano 54.2% +3 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Doncaster 1.31 – 1.66 Stockport County · expected total 2.97

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Doncaster

Form (last 5)
LLeicester (A) 1–2 · 17/10/2026WBurton Albion (H) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WLiverpool U21 (H) 1–0 · 06/10/2026WPeterborough (A) 2–0 · 19/09/2026LAFC Wimbledon (A) 0–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)0.67
xG against (recent avg)0.64
Elo strength rating1451

Stockport County

Form (last 5)
WBarnsley (H) 3–1 · 10/10/2026WShrewsbury (A) 2–0 · 06/10/2026WPeterborough (H) 1–0 · 26/09/2026DSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–0 · 19/09/2026LLeicester (H) 3–4 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.04
xG against (recent avg)0.70
Elo strength rating1705
DoncasterStockport County
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
0.67
1.04
xG against (recent avg)
0.64
0.70
Elo strength rating
1451
1705

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Doncaster

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Stockport County

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League One

Doncaster

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Stockport County

Best attack (2.20 goals/game)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Doncaster at home · Stockport County away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Doncaster (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–1L
W 1
D 2
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Stockport County (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–1L
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Doncaster (home)Stockport County (away)
W 1
D 2
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.80
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
7.3%
0–1
5.8%
0–2
5.6%
1–3
4%
0–3
3.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Doncaster 1 win · 1 draw · Stockport County 5 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 3 of 7

1
1
5
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Mar 2026 Doncaster 0–1 Stockport County EFL Trophy
29 Dec 2025 Stockport County 4–2 Doncaster League One
09 Dec 2025 Doncaster 0–2 Stockport County League One
27 Jan 2024 Doncaster 1–5 Stockport County League Two
07 Oct 2023 Stockport County 1–0 Doncaster League Two
04 Mar 2023 Stockport County 0–0 Doncaster League Two
16 Aug 2022 Doncaster 2–1 Stockport County League Two

📈 Recent Form

Doncaster

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Leicester Away 1–2 L
10/10 Burton Albion Home 1–0 W
06/10 Liverpool U21 Home 1–0 W
19/09 Peterborough Away 2–0 W
12/09 AFC Wimbledon Away 0–1 L

Stockport County

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Barnsley Home 3–1 W
06/10 Shrewsbury Away 2–0 W
26/09 Peterborough Home 1–0 W
19/09 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–0 D
12/09 Leicester Home 3–4 L

📊 Season Comparison — League One

Doncaster #17 · 9 pts —  Stockport County #2 · 19 pts

Doncaster

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–4L
W 2
D 3
L 4
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards20
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.67
xG against (avg)0.64
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Stockport County

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–1D–3L
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played10
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards9
Red cards0
xG for (avg)1.04
xG against (avg)0.70
Corners for (avg)7.80
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
DoncasterStockport County
W 2
D 3
L 4
W 6
D 1
L 3
Played
9
10
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
20
9
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.67
1.04
xG against (avg)
0.64
0.70
Corners for (avg)
4.40
7.80
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Doncaster

0-15
1
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Stockport County

2
0-15
2
2
16-30
6
2
31-45
3
46-60
4
61-75
4
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws