Predictions → England League One

Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Meadow Lane

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 2.55 → 2.17 ▼15% 80% 46% 2.17 1xBet 45.7% +0.3 pp
Double Chance X2 73% 73.8% 1.37 Betano 71.2% +2.6 pp
BTTS Yes 84% 54.8% 1.65 Betfair 57.1% -2.3 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 53% 1.79 Pinnacle 53.4% -0.4 pp
Correct Score 1-2 63% 7.7% 9.25 Betano 5.4% +2.3 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.6 exp.) Under 9.5 63% 54.1% 1.92 Bet365 49.5% +4.6 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Notts County 1.11 – 1.73 Sheffield Wednesday · expected total 2.84

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Notts County

Form (last 5)
LOxford United (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026WGrimsby (H) 2–1 · 22/09/2026LReading (A) 0–2 · 19/09/2026LBradford (H) 0–1 · 12/09/2026DHuddersfield (A) 1–1 · 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.39
xG against (recent avg)0.65
Elo strength rating1338

Sheffield Wednesday

Form (last 5)
WAFC Wimbledon (H) 5–0 · 17/10/2026DHuddersfield (A) 2–2 · 10/10/2026WSunderland U21 (H) 2–0 · 06/10/2026WSalford City (A) 2–1 · 22/09/2026DStockport County (H) 0–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Win streak (best this season)3
xG for (recent avg)0.75
xG against (recent avg)0.93
Elo strength rating1458
Notts CountySheffield Wednesday
Goals scored (season avg)
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
0.90
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
xG for (recent avg)
0.39
0.75
xG against (recent avg)
0.65
0.93
Elo strength rating
1338
1458

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Notts County

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Sheffield Wednesday

Unbeaten 9
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
4/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League One

Notts County

Worst clean sheets (0)

Sheffield Wednesday

Best attack (2.20 goals/game) 2nd best defence (0.90 conceded/game)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Notts County at home · Sheffield Wednesday away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Notts County (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Sheffield Wednesday (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Notts County (home)Sheffield Wednesday (away)
W 1
D 1
L 2
W 3
D 1
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.30
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
7.7%
0–1
7.1%
0–2
7%
1–3
4.4%
0–3
4%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Notts County 0 wins · 0 draws · Sheffield Wednesday 3 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3

3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
12 Aug 2014 Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 Notts County League Cup
17 Mar 2012 Notts County 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday League One
20 Aug 2011 Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Notts County League One

📈 Recent Form

Notts County

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Oxford United Home 1–2 L
22/09 Grimsby Home 2–1 W
19/09 Reading Away 0–2 L
12/09 Bradford Home 0–1 L
05/09 Huddersfield Away 1–1 D

Sheffield Wednesday

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 AFC Wimbledon Home 5–0 W
10/10 Huddersfield Away 2–2 D
06/10 Sunderland U21 Home 2–0 W
22/09 Salford City Away 2–1 W
19/09 Stockport County Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison — League One

Notts County #23 · 7 pts —  Sheffield Wednesday #6 · 18 pts

Notts County

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–4L
W 1
D 4
L 4
Played9
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.39
xG against (avg)0.65
Corners for (avg)3.20
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Sheffield Wednesday

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–1L
W 5
D 3
L 1
Played9
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards19
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.75
xG against (avg)0.93
Corners for (avg)5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
Notts CountySheffield Wednesday
W 1
D 4
L 4
W 5
D 3
L 1
Played
9
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
0.90
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
22
19
Red cards
0
0
xG for (avg)
0.39
0.75
xG against (avg)
0.65
0.93
Corners for (avg)
3.20
5.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Notts County

1
0-15
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
1
76-90
4
scored conceded

Sheffield Wednesday

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
3
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws