Predictions → England League One

Oxford United vs Wigan

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 12 • Kassam Stadium

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Match Winner (1X2) — Home
Model 57.9% · Market best price ≈ 51.3% · Edge +5.2 pp
Best odds 1.95 Pinnacle 1.95Betano 1.95Dafabet 1.95
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¼ Kelly sizing: 2.9% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.91 → 1.95 ▲2% 84% 56.1% 1.95 Pinnacle 50.9% +5.2 pp
Double Chance 1X 78% 80.7% 1.30 Betano 75.7% +5 pp
BTTS Yes 81% 49% 1.73 Betfair 54.8% -5.8 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.4% 1.82 Pinnacle 52.7% -3.3 pp
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.9% 8.75 Betano 5.7% +2.2 pp
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.1 exp.) Over 9.5 62% 53.3% 1.52 Betano 61.4% -8.1 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Oxford United 2.18 – 1.05 Wigan · expected total 3.22

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Oxford United

Form (last 5)
DMansfield Town (A) 1–1 · 15/10/2026WNotts County (A) 2–1 · 10/10/2026DCambridge United (H) 1–1 · 19/09/2026WBurton Albion (H) 3–0 · 12/09/2026WLeicester (A) 4–0 · 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)2
xG for (recent avg)1.21
xG against (recent avg)1.55
Elo strength rating1423

Wigan

Form (last 5)
WReading (H) 1–0 · 17/10/2026LStevenage (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WBlackpool (H) 3–2 · 22/09/2026LWycombe (H) 0–1 · 19/09/2026DSheffield Wednesday (A) 0–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)0.45
xG against (recent avg)1.29
Elo strength rating1407
Oxford UnitedWigan
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
1.40
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.21
0.45
xG against (recent avg)
1.55
1.29
Elo strength rating
1423
1407

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Oxford United

Unbeaten 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Wigan

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
2/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — League One

Oxford United

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Wigan

2nd worst attack (0.70 goals/game) Worst BTTS rate (17%)

Rank among 24 League One teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Oxford United at home · Wigan away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Oxford United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–0L
W 1
D 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Wigan (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–3L
D 1
L 3
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Oxford United (home)Wigan (away)
W 1
D 2
D 1
L 3
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.9%
2–0
7.6%
1–0
6.2%
3–1
5.7%
3–0
5.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Oxford United 3 wins · 1 draw · Wigan 4 wins · avg 3.6 goals · BTTS in 5 of 8

3
1
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
13 Feb 2024 Oxford United 4–2 Wigan League One
24 Oct 2023 Wigan 2–0 Oxford United League One
01 Feb 2022 Wigan 1–1 Oxford United League One
18 Dec 2021 Oxford United 2–3 Wigan League One
14 Feb 2021 Oxford United 2–1 Wigan League One
21 Nov 2020 Wigan 1–2 Oxford United League One
17 Apr 2018 Wigan 1–0 Oxford United League One
23 Dec 2017 Oxford United 0–7 Wigan League One

📈 Recent Form

Oxford United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15/10 Mansfield Town Away 1–1 D
10/10 Notts County Away 2–1 W
19/09 Cambridge United Home 1–1 D
12/09 Burton Albion Home 3–0 W
05/09 Leicester Away 4–0 W

Wigan

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Reading Home 1–0 W
10/10 Stevenage Away 0–1 L
22/09 Blackpool Home 3–2 W
19/09 Wycombe Home 0–1 L
12/09 Sheffield Wednesday Away 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison — League One

Oxford United #8 · 15 pts —  Wigan #24 · 7 pts

Oxford United

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–1L
W 4
D 3
L 1
Played8
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards16
Red cards2
xG for (avg)1.21
xG against (avg)1.55
Corners for (avg)3.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Wigan

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–6L
W 2
D 1
L 6
Played9
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score6
Yellow cards24
Red cards0
xG for (avg)0.45
xG against (avg)1.29
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Oxford UnitedWigan
W 4
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 1
L 6
Played
8
9
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
1.40
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
0
6
Yellow cards
16
24
Red cards
2
0
xG for (avg)
1.21
0.45
xG against (avg)
1.55
1.29
Corners for (avg)
3.70
5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Oxford United

0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
7
scored conceded

Wigan

3
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
3
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: League One predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws