Predictions → England National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town vs AFC Totton

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 13 • Focus Community Arena

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 60.9% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.2% — — — —
BTTS No 81% 49.2% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83% 52.7% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 72% 12.8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.57 – 0.68 AFC Totton · expected total 2.25

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Hemel Hempstead Town

Form (last 5)
DDagenham & Redbridge (A) 0–0 · 10/10/2026WSlough Town (A) 2–0 · 26/09/2026LWingate & Finchley (A) 1–2 · 22/09/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 1–1 · 19/09/2026DTonbridge Angels (H) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)0.90
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1591

AFC Totton

Form (last 5)
LEbbsfleet United (A) 0–5 · 13/10/2026LWalton & Hersham (H) 0–1 · 10/10/2026LDover (A) 0–2 · 26/09/2026LGloucester City (H) 0–2 · 19/09/2026LSlough Town (H) 0–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.90
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1387
Hemel Hempstead TownAFC Totton
DDagenham & Redbridge (A) 0–0 · 10/10/2026WSlough Town (A) 2–0 · 26/09/2026LWingate & Finchley (A) 1–2 · 22/09/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 1–1 · 19/09/2026DTonbridge Angels (H) 1–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.90
1.90
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1591
1387

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Hemel Hempstead Town

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

AFC Totton

Lost 6 in a row Winless 6
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
1/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

Worst Over 2.5 rate (17%)

AFC Totton

Worst attack (0.70 goals/game) Worst BTTS rate (17%)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Hemel Hempstead Town at home · AFC Totton away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Hemel Hempstead Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–2L
D 3
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

AFC Totton (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Hemel Hempstead Town (home)AFC Totton (away)
D 3
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
2.20
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
12.8%
2–0
10.8%
2–1
7.3%
3–0
5.6%
3–1
3.8%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

AFC Totton 1 win · 0 draws · Hemel Hempstead Town 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
14 Mar 2026 Hemel Hempstead Town 2–0 AFC Totton National League - South
18 Oct 2025 AFC Totton 2–1 Hemel Hempstead Town National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Hemel Hempstead Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dagenham & Redbridge Away 0–0 D
26/09 Slough Town Away 2–0 W
22/09 Wingate & Finchley Away 1–2 L
19/09 Wingate & Finchley Home 1–1 D
12/09 Tonbridge Angels Home 1–1 D

AFC Totton

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13/10 Ebbsfleet United Away 0–5 L
10/10 Walton & Hersham Home 0–1 L
26/09 Dover Away 0–2 L
19/09 Gloucester City Home 0–2 L
12/09 Slough Town Home 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town #16 · 14 pts —  AFC Totton #21 · 10 pts

Hemel Hempstead Town

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–4L
W 3
D 5
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets4
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

AFC Totton

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–8L
W 3
D 1
L 8
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets2
Failed to score6
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Hemel Hempstead TownAFC Totton
W 3
D 5
L 4
W 3
D 1
L 8
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
1.90
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
4
6
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Hemel Hempstead Town

0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
3
scored conceded

AFC Totton

2
0-15
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
1
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws