Predictions → England National League South

Weston-super-Mare vs Braintree

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 16 • 🌦 7.3°C, 8 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available41% —
Double Chance 12 Current price not available71.7% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available55% · No 45% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available49.6% · Under 50.4% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available8.9% —

🧠 Match Preview

Weston-super-Mare · Home

Weston-super-Mare have lost four of their last five, including a 1-6 defeat at Ebbsfleet United, and failed to score in only one of those games. Their model_expected_goals of 1.44 is the higher of the two forecasts for this fixture.

Braintree · Away

Braintree won their two most recent home matches 1-0 against Hampton & Richmond and 2-1 against Dagenham & Redbridge, but lost 0-6 at Farnham Town. Their model_expected_goals of 1.22 is the lower forecast here.

Braintree's away collapse stands out

The latest head-to-head, on 6 Apr 2024, finished 0-1 to Braintree at Weston-super-Mare, and the earlier meeting was 2-0. Braintree's recent away form includes that 0-6 loss at Farnham Town, while Weston-super-Mare's one point in five came from a 1-1 home draw with Folkestone Invicta. Weston-super-Mare scored in four of their last five and have a model_expected_goals of 1.44 against Braintree's 1.22. The evidence supports Weston-super-Mare win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Weston-super-Mare 1.44 – 1.22 Braintree · expected total 2.66

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Weston-super-Mare

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Best league winning streak this season7
Elo strength rating1578

Braintree

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Best league winning streak this season2
Elo strength rating1321
Weston-super-MareBraintree
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
2.40
Best league winning streak this season
7
2
Elo strength rating
1578
1321

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Weston-super-Mare

Lost 3 in a row Winless 6
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Braintree

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: National League South

Weston-super-Mare

3rd best BTTS rate (83%, last 6)

Braintree

3rd best Over 2.5 rate (83%, last 6)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Weston-super-Mare at home · Braintree away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Weston-super-Mare (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–1L
W 4
D 2
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.90
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Braintree (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.40
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Weston-super-Mare (home)Braintree (away)
W 4
D 2
L 1
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played
7
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.90
3.40
Clean sheets
3
0
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
8.87%
1–0
8.85%
2–0
7.27%
3–1
4.26%
3–0
3.49%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Braintree 2 wins · 0 draws · Weston-super-Mare 0 wins · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Apr 2024 Weston-super-Mare 0–1 Braintree National League - South
21 Oct 2023 Braintree 2–0 Weston-super-Mare National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Weston-super-Mare

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Dorking Wanderers Away 0–2 L
28/10 Farnborough Away 1–2 L
17/10 Ebbsfleet United Away 1–6 L
10/10 Folkestone Invicta Home 1–1 D
26/09 Farnham Town Away 2–3 L
19/09 Wimborne Town Home 1–1 D
12/09 Dagenham & Redbridge Home 1–0 W
08/09 AFC Totton Home 3–1 W
05/09 Maidstone Utd Away 0–1 L
31/08 Chelmsford City Home 1–1 D

Braintree

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/10 Hampton & Richmond Home 1–0 W
27/10 Dagenham & Redbridge Home 2–1 W
24/10 Farnham Town Away 0–6 L
13/10 West Ham United U21 Home 2–4 L
10/10 Truro City Home 1–2 L
06/10 Walton & Hersham Home 1–3 L
03/10 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Away 1–2 L
26/09 Dorking Wanderers Away 3–4 L
22/09 Needham Market Home 3–0 W
19/09 Needham Market Away 3–3 D

📊 Season Comparison: National League South

Weston-super-Mare #15 · 18 pts ·  Braintree #17 · 16 pts

Weston-super-Mare

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–6L
W 5
D 3
L 6
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Braintree

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–8L
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1
Weston-super-MareBraintree
W 5
D 3
L 6
W 5
D 1
L 8
Played
14
14
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.40
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
3
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Weston-super-Mare

3
0-15
3
4
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
9
scored conceded

Braintree

4
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
5
31-45
3
9
46-60
3
4
61-75
3
8
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws