Predictions → England National League South

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chesham United

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 13 • Victoria Road

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 87% 65.9% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.1% — — — —
BTTS No 82% 50.1% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79% 45.9% — — — —
Correct Score 2-0 66% 9.4% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Dagenham & Redbridge 1.90 – 0.84 Chesham United · expected total 2.74

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Dagenham & Redbridge

Form (last 5)
DHemel Hempstead Town (H) 0–0 · 10/10/2026LBrentwood Town (A) 1–3 · 03/10/2026WHampton & Richmond (H) 1–0 · 26/09/2026WWaltham Abbey (H) 3–0 · 22/09/2026DWaltham Abbey (A) 1–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)0.60
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1424

Chesham United

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1467
Dagenham & RedbridgeChesham United
DHemel Hempstead Town (H) 0–0 · 10/10/2026LBrentwood Town (A) 1–3 · 03/10/2026WHampton & Richmond (H) 1–0 · 26/09/2026WWaltham Abbey (H) 3–0 · 22/09/2026DWaltham Abbey (A) 1–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.60
2.20
Win streak (best this season)
4
2
Elo strength rating
1424
1467

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Dagenham & Redbridge

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Chesham United

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League South

Dagenham & Redbridge

2nd best defence (0.60 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (6)

Chesham United

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Dagenham & Redbridge at home · Chesham United away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Dagenham & Redbridge (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–1L
W 4
D 1
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Chesham United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–4L
W 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Dagenham & Redbridge (home)Chesham United (away)
W 4
D 1
L 1
W 2
L 4
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
1.80
Clean sheets
4
1
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
9.4%
1–0
9.1%
2–1
7.9%
3–0
6%
3–1
5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chesham United 0 wins · 0 draws · Dagenham & Redbridge 2 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
24 Feb 2026 Chesham United 0–1 Dagenham & Redbridge National League - South
25 Nov 2025 Dagenham & Redbridge 3–1 Chesham United National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Dagenham & Redbridge

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Hemel Hempstead Town Home 0–0 D
03/10 Brentwood Town Away 1–3 L
26/09 Hampton & Richmond Home 1–0 W
22/09 Waltham Abbey Home 3–0 W
19/09 Waltham Abbey Away 1–1 D

Chesham United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chelmsford City Home 0–5 L
03/10 Real Bedford Home 4–3 W
26/09 Maidenhead Home 0–4 L
19/09 Ware Home 7–2 W
12/09 Horsham Away 4–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Dagenham & Redbridge #7 · 20 pts —  Chesham United #19 · 10 pts

Dagenham & Redbridge

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–4L
W 6
D 2
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets6
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Chesham United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–7L
W 3
D 1
L 7
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Dagenham & RedbridgeChesham United
W 6
D 2
L 4
W 3
D 1
L 7
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
2.20
Clean sheets
6
2
Failed to score
4
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
3
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Dagenham & Redbridge

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
61-75
2
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Chesham United

3
0-15
4
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws