Predictions → England National League South

Chesham United vs Farnham Town

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 14 • The Meadow

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 42% — — — —
Double Chance 12 70% 70.4% — — — —
BTTS Yes 83% 53.9% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84% 54.4% — — — —
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.3% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Chesham United 1.62 – 1.27 Farnham Town · expected total 2.89

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Chesham United

Form (last 5)
LChelmsford City (H) 0–5 · 10/10/2026WReal Bedford (H) 4–3 · 03/10/2026LMaidenhead (H) 0–4 · 26/09/2026WWare (H) 7–2 · 19/09/2026WHorsham (A) 4–1 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.20
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1467

Farnham Town

Form (last 5)
LSalisbury (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026DTruro City (H) 2–2 · 06/10/2026WWeston-super-Mare (H) 3–2 · 26/09/2026LCirencester Town (H) 1–2 · 22/09/2026DCirencester Town (A) 2–2 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1439
Chesham UnitedFarnham Town
LSalisbury (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026DTruro City (H) 2–2 · 06/10/2026WWeston-super-Mare (H) 3–2 · 26/09/2026LCirencester Town (H) 1–2 · 22/09/2026DCirencester Town (A) 2–2 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.20
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
2
2
Elo strength rating
1467
1439

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Chesham United

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Farnham Town

BTTS
6/6
Over 2.5
6/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League South

Chesham United

Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Farnham Town

Best BTTS rate (100%) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Chesham United at home · Farnham Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Chesham United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–3L
W 1
D 1
L 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Farnham Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Chesham United (home)Farnham Town (away)
W 1
D 1
L 3
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
2.60
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.3%
1–0
6.2%
2–0
5.8%
3–1
3.9%
3–0
3.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Chesham United 1 win · 0 draws · Farnham Town 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 1 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
16 Sep 2023 Farnham Town 1–2 Chesham United FA Cup

📈 Recent Form

Chesham United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chelmsford City Home 0–5 L
03/10 Real Bedford Home 4–3 W
26/09 Maidenhead Home 0–4 L
19/09 Ware Home 7–2 W
12/09 Horsham Away 4–1 W

Farnham Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Salisbury Home 1–2 L
06/10 Truro City Home 2–2 D
26/09 Weston-super-Mare Home 3–2 W
22/09 Cirencester Town Home 1–2 L
19/09 Cirencester Town Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Chesham United #19 · 10 pts —  Farnham Town #11 · 17 pts

Chesham United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–7L
W 3
D 1
L 7
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Farnham Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–4L
W 5
D 2
L 4
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Chesham UnitedFarnham Town
W 3
D 1
L 7
W 5
D 2
L 4
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.20
1.50
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
4
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Chesham United

3
0-15
4
4
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
6
76-90
5
scored conceded

Farnham Town

1
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws