Predictions → England National League South

Salisbury vs Dover

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League South - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 88% 67.7% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 77% 80.1% — — — —
BTTS Yes 82% 52% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84% 55.6% — — — —
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.6% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Salisbury 2.35 – 1.17 Dover · expected total 3.52

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Salisbury

Form (last 5)
WFarnham Town (A) 2–1 · 10/10/2026WDulwich Hamlet (H) 5–0 · 03/10/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WTaunton Town (H) 4–1 · 19/09/2026WTruro City (A) 1–0 · 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)0.70
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1488

Dover

Form (last 5)
DDorking Wanderers (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026WHanwell Town (A) 2–1 · 03/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 4–2 · 19/09/2026WFarnborough (A) 1–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1391
SalisburyDover
DDorking Wanderers (H) 1–1 · 10/10/2026WHanwell Town (A) 2–1 · 03/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 2–0 · 26/09/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 4–2 · 19/09/2026WFarnborough (A) 1–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.70
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
Elo strength rating
1488
1391

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Salisbury

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 9
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Dover

Unbeaten 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League South

Salisbury

3rd best defence (0.70 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Dover

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Salisbury at home · Dover away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Salisbury (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–1L
W 4
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Dover (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Salisbury (home)Dover (away)
W 4
L 1
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.80
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.20
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.6%
2–0
6.5%
3–1
6%
3–0
5.1%
1–0
4.9%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Dover 1 win · 0 draws · Salisbury 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
28 Mar 2026 Salisbury 2–1 Dover National League - South
23 Aug 2025 Dover 2–0 Salisbury National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Salisbury

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Farnham Town Away 2–1 W
03/10 Dulwich Hamlet Home 5–0 W
26/09 Folkestone Invicta Home 2–0 W
19/09 Taunton Town Home 4–1 W
15/09 Truro City Away 1–0 W

Dover

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Dorking Wanderers Home 1–1 D
03/10 Hanwell Town Away 2–1 W
26/09 AFC Totton Home 2–0 W
19/09 Folkestone Invicta Home 4–2 W
12/09 Farnborough Away 1–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Salisbury #3 · 21 pts —  Dover #9 · 18 pts

Salisbury

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–2L
W 6
D 3
L 2
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.70
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards2
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Dover

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–3L
W 5
D 3
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
SalisburyDover
W 6
D 3
L 2
W 5
D 3
L 3
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
0.70
1.50
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
2
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Salisbury

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
46-60
6
61-75
1
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Dover

0-15
2
16-30
5
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
4
3
61-75
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws