Predictions → England National League South

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham

Next match: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 6 • Stonebridge Road Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 1.5 → 1.37 ▼9% 92% 76.1% 1.37 Betano 71.6% +4.5 pp
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.8% 1.10 BetVictor 89.8% -7 pp
BTTS No 79% 46% 1.85 William Hill 50.8% -4.8 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77% 42.2% 2.22 Pinnacle 42.9% -0.7 pp
Correct Score 2-0 66% 9.1% 7.00 William Hill 6.6% +2.5 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 2.05 – 0.88 Horsham · expected total 2.93

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Ebbsfleet United

Form (last 5)
WWeston-super-Mare (H) 6–1 · 17/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 5–0 · 13/10/2026WHampton & Richmond (A) 2–0 · 10/10/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 1–0 · 06/10/2026LSholing (H) 1–2 · 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.40
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1658

Horsham

Form (last 5)
WSlough Town (A) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LMaidstone Utd (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LPlymouth Parkway (A) 1–2 · 03/10/2026DChelmsford City (A) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WWalton & Hersham (A) 3–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1403
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham
WSlough Town (A) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LMaidstone Utd (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LPlymouth Parkway (A) 1–2 · 03/10/2026DChelmsford City (A) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WWalton & Hersham (A) 3–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.40
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1658
1403

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Ebbsfleet United

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Horsham

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League South

Ebbsfleet United

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game) Best defence (0.40 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Horsham

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ebbsfleet United at home · Horsham away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Ebbsfleet United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Horsham (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Ebbsfleet United (home)Horsham (away)
W 3
D 2
W 2
D 3
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.60
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
0.80
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
9.1%
1–0
8.1%
2–1
8%
3–0
6.2%
3–1
5.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Ebbsfleet United 0 wins · 1 draw · Horsham 1 win · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
24 Feb 2026 Horsham 1–1 Ebbsfleet United National League - South
25 Nov 2025 Ebbsfleet United 1–2 Horsham National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Ebbsfleet United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Weston-super-Mare Home 6–1 W
13/10 AFC Totton Home 5–0 W
10/10 Hampton & Richmond Away 2–0 W
06/10 Folkestone Invicta Home 1–0 W
03/10 Sholing Home 1–2 L

Horsham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Slough Town Away 2–1 W
10/10 Maidstone Utd Home 1–2 L
03/10 Plymouth Parkway Away 1–2 L
26/09 Chelmsford City Away 0–0 D
19/09 Walton & Hersham Away 3–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Ebbsfleet United #2 · 21 pts —  Horsham #15 · 14 pts

Ebbsfleet United

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–0L
W 6
D 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Horsham

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–3L
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Ebbsfleet UnitedHorsham
W 6
D 3
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played
9
11
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
1.20
Clean sheets
5
3
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ebbsfleet United

0-15
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Horsham

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
6
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws