Predictions β†’ England National League South

Ebbsfleet United vs Maidenhead

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ National League South - 13 β€’ Stonebridge Road Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 79.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 83% 87.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 80% 47.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75% 38.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-0 66% 9% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Ebbsfleet United 2.48 – 0.84 Maidenhead Β· expected total 3.32

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Ebbsfleet United

Form (last 5)
WWeston-super-Mare (H) 6–1 Β· 17/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 5–0 Β· 13/10/2026WHampton & Richmond (A) 2–0 Β· 10/10/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 1–0 Β· 06/10/2026LSholing (H) 1–2 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.40
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1658

Maidenhead

Form (last 5)
LMaidstone Utd (A) 1–2 Β· 17/10/2026LTonbridge Angels (H) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026WChesham United (A) 4–0 Β· 26/09/2026LEbbsfleet United (H) 1–3 Β· 19/09/2026DBillericay Town (H) 2–2 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1580
Ebbsfleet UnitedMaidenhead
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.40
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
1
Elo strength rating
1658
1580

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Ebbsfleet United

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Maidenhead

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League South

Ebbsfleet United

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game) Best defence (0.40 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Maidenhead

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Ebbsfleet United at home Β· Maidenhead away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Ebbsfleet United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

Maidenhead (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–3L
W 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Ebbsfleet United (home)Maidenhead (away)
W 3
D 2
W 3
L 3
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.60
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
0.80
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
9%
2–1
7.6%
3–0
7.4%
1–0
6.7%
3–1
6.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Ebbsfleet United 6 wins Β· 1 draw Β· Maidenhead 3 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 6 of 10

6
1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
19 Sep 2026 Maidenhead 1–3 Ebbsfleet United FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 Maidenhead 2–3 Ebbsfleet United National League - South
31 Jan 2026 Ebbsfleet United 3–0 Maidenhead National League - South
26 Apr 2025 Ebbsfleet United 0–2 Maidenhead National League
24 Sep 2024 Maidenhead 2–1 Ebbsfleet United National League
23 Jan 2024 Maidenhead 0–1 Ebbsfleet United National League
21 Nov 2023 Ebbsfleet United 1–1 Maidenhead National League
25 Feb 2020 Maidenhead 1–3 Ebbsfleet United National League
12 Oct 2019 Ebbsfleet United 1–2 Maidenhead National League
12 Mar 2019 Ebbsfleet United 3–0 Maidenhead National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Ebbsfleet United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Weston-super-Mare Home 6–1 W
13/10 AFC Totton Home 5–0 W
10/10 Hampton & Richmond Away 2–0 W
06/10 Folkestone Invicta Home 1–0 W
03/10 Sholing Home 1–2 L

Maidenhead

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Maidstone Utd Away 1–2 L
10/10 Tonbridge Angels Home 0–1 L
26/09 Chesham United Away 4–0 W
19/09 Ebbsfleet United Home 1–3 L
12/09 Billericay Town Home 2–2 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League South

Ebbsfleet United #2 Β· 21 pts β€”  Maidenhead #18 Β· 13 pts

Ebbsfleet United

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–0L
W 6
D 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Maidenhead

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–5L
W 3
D 4
L 5
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards1
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Ebbsfleet UnitedMaidenhead
W 6
D 3
W 3
D 4
L 5
Played
9
12
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
1.20
Clean sheets
5
4
Failed to score
1
5
Yellow cards
0
1
Red cards
0
4
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Ebbsfleet United

0-15
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Maidenhead

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
5
46-60
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws