Predictions β†’ England National League South

Maidstone Utd vs Ebbsfleet United

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ National League South - 14 β€’ Gallagher Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 41.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 12 71% 72% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 84% 55% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 62% 7.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Maidstone Utd 1.78 – 1.45 Ebbsfleet United Β· expected total 3.23

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Maidstone Utd

Form (last 5)
WMaidenhead (H) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WHorsham (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026LTruro City (H) 1–2 Β· 26/09/2026LCray Wanderers (H) 0–2 Β· 22/09/2026DCray Wanderers (A) 1–1 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)5
Elo strength rating1631

Ebbsfleet United

Form (last 5)
WWeston-super-Mare (H) 6–1 Β· 17/10/2026WAFC Totton (H) 5–0 Β· 13/10/2026WHampton & Richmond (A) 2–0 Β· 10/10/2026WFolkestone Invicta (H) 1–0 Β· 06/10/2026LSholing (H) 1–2 Β· 03/10/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)0.40
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1658
Maidstone UtdEbbsfleet United
WMaidenhead (H) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WHorsham (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026LTruro City (H) 1–2 Β· 26/09/2026LCray Wanderers (H) 0–2 Β· 22/09/2026DCray Wanderers (A) 1–1 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.10
0.40
Win streak (best this season)
5
1
Elo strength rating
1631
1658

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Maidstone Utd

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Ebbsfleet United

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League South

Maidstone Utd

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Ebbsfleet United

2nd best attack (2.20 goals/game) Best defence (0.40 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (5)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Maidstone Utd at home Β· Ebbsfleet United away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Maidstone Utd (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Ebbsfleet United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–0L
W 3
D 1
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Maidstone Utd (home)Ebbsfleet United (away)
W 3
D 1
L 2
W 3
D 1
Played
6
4
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
0.50
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.1%
2–0
4.9%
1–0
4.7%
3–1
4.2%
3–2
3.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Ebbsfleet United 3 wins Β· 2 draws Β· Maidstone Utd 4 wins Β· avg 2.6 goals Β· BTTS in 3 of 9

3
2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Jan 2026 Maidstone Utd 3–0 Ebbsfleet United National League - South
04 Nov 2025 Ebbsfleet United 1–0 Maidstone Utd National League - South
12 Oct 2024 Maidstone Utd 3–0 Ebbsfleet United FA Cup
25 Jan 2022 Maidstone Utd 4–0 Ebbsfleet United National League - South
23 Nov 2021 Ebbsfleet United 2–3 Maidstone Utd National League - South
17 Nov 2020 Ebbsfleet United 0–0 Maidstone Utd National League - South
23 Mar 2019 Maidstone Utd 0–2 Ebbsfleet United National League
30 Oct 2018 Ebbsfleet United 1–1 Maidstone Utd National League
09 Jan 2018 Maidstone Utd 1–2 Ebbsfleet United National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Maidstone Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Maidenhead Home 2–1 W
10/10 Horsham Away 2–1 W
26/09 Truro City Home 1–2 L
22/09 Cray Wanderers Home 0–2 L
19/09 Cray Wanderers Away 1–1 D

Ebbsfleet United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Weston-super-Mare Home 6–1 W
13/10 AFC Totton Home 5–0 W
10/10 Hampton & Richmond Away 2–0 W
06/10 Folkestone Invicta Home 1–0 W
03/10 Sholing Home 1–2 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League South

Maidstone Utd #1 Β· 25 pts β€”  Ebbsfleet United #2 Β· 21 pts

Maidstone Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–1D–3L
W 8
D 1
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0

Ebbsfleet United

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–0L
W 6
D 3
Played9
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets5
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Maidstone UtdEbbsfleet United
W 8
D 1
L 3
W 6
D 3
Played
12
9
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.10
0.40
Clean sheets
3
5
Failed to score
0
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
3/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Maidstone Utd

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Ebbsfleet United

0-15
4
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws