Predictions → England National League South

Maidenhead vs Horsham

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • National League South - 14 • York Road

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 77% 39.2% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 69% 68.7% — — — —
BTTS No 79% 45.5% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 46.6% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 64% 8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Maidenhead 1.41 – 1.11 Horsham · expected total 2.52

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Maidenhead

Form (last 5)
LMaidstone Utd (A) 1–2 · 17/10/2026LTonbridge Angels (H) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WChesham United (A) 4–0 · 26/09/2026LEbbsfleet United (H) 1–3 · 19/09/2026DBillericay Town (H) 2–2 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1580

Horsham

Form (last 5)
WSlough Town (A) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LMaidstone Utd (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LPlymouth Parkway (A) 1–2 · 03/10/2026DChelmsford City (A) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WWalton & Hersham (A) 3–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1403
MaidenheadHorsham
WSlough Town (A) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LMaidstone Utd (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LPlymouth Parkway (A) 1–2 · 03/10/2026DChelmsford City (A) 0–0 · 26/09/2026WWalton & Hersham (A) 3–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1580
1403

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Maidenhead

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Horsham

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Maidenhead at home · Horsham away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Maidenhead (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–4D–2L
D 4
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Horsham (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–3D–0L
W 2
D 3
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Maidenhead (home)Horsham (away)
D 4
L 2
W 2
D 3
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.80
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8%
2–1
7.1%
2–0
6.3%
3–1
3.3%
3–0
3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Horsham 0 wins · 0 draws · Maidenhead 2 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Jan 2026 Horsham 1–2 Maidenhead National League - South
25 Aug 2025 Maidenhead 2–1 Horsham National League - South

📈 Recent Form

Maidenhead

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Maidstone Utd Away 1–2 L
10/10 Tonbridge Angels Home 0–1 L
26/09 Chesham United Away 4–0 W
19/09 Ebbsfleet United Home 1–3 L
12/09 Billericay Town Home 2–2 D

Horsham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Slough Town Away 2–1 W
10/10 Maidstone Utd Home 1–2 L
03/10 Plymouth Parkway Away 1–2 L
26/09 Chelmsford City Away 0–0 D
19/09 Walton & Hersham Away 3–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League South

Maidenhead #18 · 13 pts —  Horsham #15 · 14 pts

Maidenhead

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–4D–5L
W 3
D 4
L 5
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards1
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Horsham

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–5D–3L
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
MaidenheadHorsham
W 3
D 4
L 5
W 3
D 5
L 3
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.20
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
5
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
4
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Maidenhead

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
5
46-60
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
2
scored conceded

Horsham

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
6
61-75
2
4
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws