Predictions β†’ England National League South

Torquay vs Maidstone Utd

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ National League South - 13 β€’ Plainmoor

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 60% 26.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance X2 63% 61.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 85% 57% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77% 41.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 68% 10.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Torquay 1.46 – 1.47 Maidstone Utd Β· expected total 2.93

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Torquay

Form (last 5)
WSlough Town (H) 5–1 Β· 10/10/2026WTonbridge Angels (A) 1–0 Β· 03/10/2026LBillericay Town (A) 0–3 Β· 26/09/2026WAFC Stoneham (H) 6–1 Β· 19/09/2026DDorking Wanderers (H) 2–2 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1673

Maidstone Utd

Form (last 5)
WMaidenhead (H) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WHorsham (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026LTruro City (H) 1–2 Β· 26/09/2026LCray Wanderers (H) 0–2 Β· 22/09/2026DCray Wanderers (A) 1–1 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.10
Win streak (best this season)5
Elo strength rating1631
TorquayMaidstone Utd
WMaidenhead (H) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026WHorsham (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026LTruro City (H) 1–2 Β· 26/09/2026LCray Wanderers (H) 0–2 Β· 22/09/2026DCray Wanderers (A) 1–1 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.10
Win streak (best this season)
2
5
Elo strength rating
1673
1631

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Torquay

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Maidstone Utd

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League South

Torquay

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Maidstone Utd

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League South teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Torquay at home Β· Maidstone Utd away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Torquay (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–4D–0L
W 2
D 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Maidstone Utd (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–1L
W 5
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Torquay (home)Maidstone Utd (away)
W 2
D 4
W 5
L 1
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
2.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.00
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
10.2%
0–0
5.2%
2–2
5%
3–3
1.2%
4–4
0.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Maidstone Utd 6 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Torquay 1 win Β· avg 1.9 goals Β· BTTS in 4 of 10

6
3
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Jan 2026 Torquay 1–1 Maidstone Utd National League - South
15 Nov 2025 Torquay 0–2 Maidstone Utd FA Trophy
16 Aug 2025 Maidstone Utd 1–1 Torquay National League - South
01 Feb 2025 Maidstone Utd 1–0 Torquay National League - South
12 Nov 2024 Torquay 1–1 Maidstone Utd National League - South
06 Feb 2024 Maidstone Utd 3–2 Torquay National League - South
14 Oct 2023 Torquay 0–2 Maidstone Utd FA Cup
07 Oct 2023 Torquay 0–1 Maidstone Utd National League - South
28 Jan 2023 Torquay 1–0 Maidstone Utd National League
27 Aug 2022 Maidstone Utd 1–0 Torquay National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Torquay

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Slough Town Home 5–1 W
03/10 Tonbridge Angels Away 1–0 W
26/09 Billericay Town Away 0–3 L
19/09 AFC Stoneham Home 6–1 W
12/09 Dorking Wanderers Home 2–2 D

Maidstone Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Maidenhead Home 2–1 W
10/10 Horsham Away 2–1 W
26/09 Truro City Home 1–2 L
22/09 Cray Wanderers Home 0–2 L
19/09 Cray Wanderers Away 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League South

Torquay #13 Β· 16 pts β€”  Maidstone Utd #1 Β· 25 pts

Torquay

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–4D–3L
W 4
D 4
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Maidstone Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–1D–3L
W 8
D 1
L 3
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)3/0
TorquayMaidstone Utd
W 4
D 4
L 3
W 8
D 1
L 3
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.10
Clean sheets
2
3
Failed to score
4
0
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
3/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Torquay

1
0-15
2
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
1
76-90
7
scored conceded

Maidstone Utd

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
31-45
4
5
46-60
6
2
61-75
3
4
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League South predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws