Predictions β†’ England National League

AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ Round 15 β€’ Mill Farm

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 87% 64.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 77% 79.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 82% 51% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% 51.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Fylde 2.09 – 1.04 Hartlepool Β· expected total 3.12

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

AFC Fylde

Form (last 5)
WScunthorpe (H) 2–0 Β· 10/10/2026LSouthend (A) 1–3 Β· 03/10/2026LCarlisle (H) 0–2 Β· 29/09/2026WBoston United (A) 1–0 Β· 26/09/2026LAltrincham (H) 1–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1470

Hartlepool

Form (last 5)
WForest Green (A) 4–2 Β· 10/10/2026LTamworth (H) 0–1 Β· 03/10/2026LHarrogate Town (H) 0–1 Β· 29/09/2026LScunthorpe (A) 1–4 Β· 26/09/2026LWorthing (H) 1–3 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1462
AFC FyldeHartlepool
Goals scored (season avg)
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
2
2
Elo strength rating
1470
1462

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

AFC Fylde

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Hartlepool

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League

AFC Fylde

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Hartlepool

2nd worst attack (0.90 goals/game)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Fylde at home Β· Hartlepool away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Fylde (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Hartlepool (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–5L
W 2
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.90
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
AFC Fylde (home)Hartlepool (away)
W 2
D 2
L 2
W 2
L 5
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.90
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.9%
2–0
7.6%
1–0
6.5%
3–1
5.5%
3–0
5.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

AFC Fylde 5 wins Β· 2 draws Β· Hartlepool 2 wins Β· avg 3.7 goals Β· BTTS in 7 of 9

5
2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
04 Mar 2025 AFC Fylde 2–1 Hartlepool National League
26 Nov 2024 Hartlepool 2–0 AFC Fylde National League
09 Jan 2024 AFC Fylde 2–1 Hartlepool National League
26 Aug 2023 Hartlepool 3–1 AFC Fylde National League
13 Aug 2019 Hartlepool 2–2 AFC Fylde National League
12 Mar 2019 AFC Fylde 4–2 Hartlepool National League
27 Nov 2018 Hartlepool 1–2 AFC Fylde National League
17 Mar 2018 AFC Fylde 3–3 Hartlepool National League
26 Aug 2017 Hartlepool 0–2 AFC Fylde National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

AFC Fylde

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Scunthorpe Home 2–0 W
03/10 Southend Away 1–3 L
29/09 Carlisle Home 0–2 L
26/09 Boston United Away 1–0 W
19/09 Altrincham Home 1–2 L

Hartlepool

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Forest Green Away 4–2 W
03/10 Tamworth Home 0–1 L
29/09 Harrogate Town Home 0–1 L
26/09 Scunthorpe Away 1–4 L
19/09 Worthing Home 1–3 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League

AFC Fylde #7 Β· 23 pts β€”  Hartlepool #20 Β· 12 pts

AFC Fylde

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–4L
W 7
D 2
L 4
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Hartlepool

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–9L
W 4
L 9
Played13
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards29
Red cards3
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1
AFC FyldeHartlepool
W 7
D 2
L 4
W 4
L 9
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.50
Clean sheets
3
3
Failed to score
1
5
Yellow cards
22
29
Red cards
0
3
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Fylde

4
0-15
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
7
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
6
8
76-90
4
scored conceded

Hartlepool

0-15
4
16-30
1
3
31-45
5
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws