Predictions → England National League

AFC Hornchurch vs Yeovil Town

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • Round 15 • Hornchurch Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 59% 26.8% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 65% 63.8% — — — —
BTTS Yes 81% 49.9% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79% 44.6% — — — —
Correct Score 1-1 68% 10.1% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Hornchurch 1.55 – 1.42 Yeovil Town · expected total 2.96

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

AFC Hornchurch

Form (last 5)
WEastleigh (H) 2–0 · 10/10/2026LHarrogate Town (A) 0–3 · 03/10/2026WAldershot Town (H) 2–1 · 29/09/2026LAltrincham (A) 0–3 · 26/09/2026WScunthorpe (H) 1–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1392

Yeovil Town

Form (last 5)
WWealdstone (A) 6–0 · 10/10/2026WBoston United (H) 6–0 · 03/10/2026DWorthing (H) 1–1 · 29/09/2026WKidderminster Harriers (A) 1–0 · 26/09/2026WSolihull Moors (H) 4–1 · 18/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1526
AFC HornchurchYeovil Town
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
2.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.20
Win streak (best this season)
2
3
Elo strength rating
1392
1526

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

AFC Hornchurch

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Yeovil Town

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League

AFC Hornchurch

Worst BTTS rate (17%) 2nd best clean sheets (4)

Yeovil Town

2nd best attack (2.50 goals/game) 3rd best defence (1.20 conceded/game) 2nd best clean sheets (4)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Hornchurch at home · Yeovil Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Hornchurch (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–0D–1L
W 5
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1

Yeovil Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–1L
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
AFC Hornchurch (home)Yeovil Town (away)
W 5
L 1
W 3
D 2
L 1
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
2.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.30
1.00
Clean sheets
4
2
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
10.1%
0–0
5.1%
2–2
5%
3–3
1.2%
4–4
0.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

AFC Hornchurch

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Eastleigh Home 2–0 W
03/10 Harrogate Town Away 0–3 L
29/09 Aldershot Town Home 2–1 W
26/09 Altrincham Away 0–3 L
19/09 Scunthorpe Home 1–0 W

Yeovil Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Wealdstone Away 6–0 W
03/10 Boston United Home 6–0 W
29/09 Worthing Home 1–1 D
26/09 Kidderminster Harriers Away 1–0 W
18/09 Solihull Moors Home 4–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League

AFC Hornchurch #9 · 21 pts —  Yeovil Town #4 · 25 pts

AFC Hornchurch

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–0D–6L
W 7
L 6
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score5
Yellow cards23
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Yeovil Town

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–4D–2L
W 7
D 4
L 2
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/2
AFC HornchurchYeovil Town
W 7
L 6
W 7
D 4
L 2
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.20
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
5
0
Yellow cards
23
22
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
2/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Hornchurch

2
0-15
2
16-30
3
7
31-45
1
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
2
76-90
2
scored conceded

Yeovil Town

0-15
3
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
2
46-60
4
4
61-75
6
5
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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