Predictions β†’ England National League

Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 14 β€’ EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Double Chance β€” 1X
Model 74.9% Β· Market best price β‰ˆ 69.4% Β· Edge +6.9 pp
Best odds 1.44 Bet365 1.44William Hill 1.36BetVictor 1.36
Bet this pick β†’
ΒΌ Kelly sizing: 4.5% of bank

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🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 54.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 73% 74.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 84% 54.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Aldershot Town 1.89 – 1.15 Wealdstone Β· expected total 3.04

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Aldershot Town

Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1374

Wealdstone

Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1403

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Aldershot Town

Lost 3 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Wealdstone

Lost 2 in a row Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League

Aldershot Town

3rd best defence (1.20 conceded/game) 2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Wealdstone

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Aldershot Town at home Β· Wealdstone away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Aldershot Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–2L
W 3
D 1
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1

Wealdstone (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–3L
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Aldershot Town (home)Wealdstone (away)
W 3
D 1
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 3
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.8%
2–0
6.8%
1–0
6.3%
3–1
4.9%
3–0
4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Aldershot Town 5 wins Β· 1 draw Β· Wealdstone 4 wins Β· avg 3.6 goals Β· BTTS in 7 of 10

5
1
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
06 Apr 2026 Wealdstone 3–0 Aldershot Town National League
30 Dec 2025 Aldershot Town 4–1 Wealdstone National League
25 Mar 2025 Wealdstone 1–3 Aldershot Town National League
07 Dec 2024 Aldershot Town 3–1 Wealdstone FA Trophy
09 Nov 2024 Aldershot Town 0–2 Wealdstone National League
30 Jan 2024 Wealdstone 3–3 Aldershot Town National League
26 Aug 2023 Aldershot Town 3–1 Wealdstone National League
18 Apr 2023 Wealdstone 0–1 Aldershot Town National League
01 Oct 2022 Aldershot Town 1–2 Wealdstone National League
15 May 2022 Aldershot Town 1–3 Wealdstone National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Aldershot Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Altrincham Away 1–3 L
03/10 Carlisle Home 1–3 L
29/09 AFC Hornchurch Away 1–2 L
26/09 Tamworth Home 5–1 W
19/09 Barrow Away 0–1 L

Wealdstone

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Yeovil Town Home 0–6 L
03/10 Barrow Away 1–2 L
29/09 Forest Green Away 1–1 D
26/09 Gateshead Home 4–0 W
19/09 Tamworth Away 1–2 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League

Aldershot Town #12 Β· 18 pts β€”  Wealdstone #19 Β· 12 pts

Aldershot Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–5L
W 5
D 3
L 5
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards30
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)0/3

Wealdstone

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–7L
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards29
Red cards4
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Aldershot TownWealdstone
W 5
D 3
L 5
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
30
29
Red cards
4
4
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/3
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Aldershot Town

2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
6
76-90
3
scored conceded

Wealdstone

2
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
3
7
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws