Predictions β†’ England National League

Barrow vs Forest Green

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ Round 14 β€’ Holker Street

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Double Chance β€” 1X
Model 82.3% Β· Market best price β‰ˆ 73.5% Β· Edge +12.7 pp
Best odds 1.36 William Hill 1.36Bet365 1.36Marathonbet 1.29
Bet this pick β†’
ΒΌ Kelly sizing: 8.3% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly β€” confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 69% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.3% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 79% 46.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77% 42.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-0 65% 8.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Barrow 2.14 – 0.95 Forest Green Β· expected total 3.09

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Barrow

Form (last 5)
WTamworth (A) 2–1 Β· 10/10/2026WWealdstone (H) 2–1 Β· 03/10/2026WScunthorpe (H) 3–0 Β· 29/09/2026WSouthend (A) 4–2 Β· 26/09/2026WAldershot Town (H) 1–0 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.70
Goals conceded (season avg)1.20
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1478

Forest Green

Form (last 5)
LHartlepool (H) 2–4 Β· 10/10/2026DWealdstone (H) 1–1 Β· 29/09/2026DSutton Utd (A) 3–3 Β· 26/09/2026LBoston United (H) 1–3 Β· 19/09/2026DCarlisle (A) 1–1 Β· 15/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1518
BarrowForest Green
Goals scored (season avg)
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.20
1.80
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1478
1518

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Barrow

Won 5 in a row Unbeaten 5
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Forest Green

Winless 5
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League

Barrow

3rd best defence (1.20 conceded/game)

Forest Green

2nd best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Barrow at home Β· Forest Green away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Barrow (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–0D–2L
W 4
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score0

Forest Green (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Barrow (home)Forest Green (away)
W 4
L 2
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.40
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
8.4%
2–1
8%
1–0
7.1%
3–0
6%
3–1
5.7%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Barrow 3 wins Β· 3 draws Β· Forest Green 4 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 4 of 10

3
3
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
13 Feb 2024 Barrow 1–2 Forest Green League Two
24 Oct 2023 Forest Green 0–2 Barrow League Two
15 Apr 2022 Barrow 4–0 Forest Green League Two
23 Nov 2021 Forest Green 2–0 Barrow League Two
27 Apr 2021 Forest Green 0–2 Barrow League Two
21 Nov 2020 Barrow 2–2 Forest Green League Two
28 Jan 2017 Barrow 2–3 Forest Green National League
01 Oct 2016 Forest Green 0–0 Barrow National League
27 Feb 2016 Barrow 2–2 Forest Green National League
15 Aug 2015 Forest Green 4–0 Barrow National League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Barrow

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Tamworth Away 2–1 W
03/10 Wealdstone Home 2–1 W
29/09 Scunthorpe Home 3–0 W
26/09 Southend Away 4–2 W
19/09 Aldershot Town Home 1–0 W

Forest Green

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Hartlepool Home 2–4 L
29/09 Wealdstone Home 1–1 D
26/09 Sutton Utd Away 3–3 D
19/09 Boston United Home 1–3 L
15/09 Carlisle Away 1–1 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League

Barrow #8 Β· 21 pts β€”  Forest Green #16 Β· 15 pts

Barrow

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–3D–4L
W 6
D 3
L 4
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards36
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/1

Forest Green

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–5L
W 4
D 3
L 5
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards29
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
BarrowForest Green
W 6
D 3
L 4
W 4
D 3
L 5
Played
13
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.80
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
36
29
Red cards
1
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Barrow

1
0-15
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
6
7
76-90
7
scored conceded

Forest Green

4
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
31-45
2
5
46-60
5
4
61-75
5
5
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws