Predictions → England National League

Eastleigh vs Boston United

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 11:30 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Silverlake Stadium

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Double Chance — 1X
Model 79.2% · Market best price ≈ 71.4% · Edge +12.0 pp
Best odds 1.40 William Hill 1.40Bet365 1.40Marathonbet 1.35
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¼ Kelly sizing: 6.8% of bank

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🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 79% 44% 2.30 Pinnacle 42.1% +1.9 pp
Double Chance 1X 77% 79.2% 1.40 William Hill 67.2% +12 pp
BTTS No 80% 46.9% 2.34 1xBet 40.2% +6.7 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49.7% 2.20 Bet365 42.9% +6.8 pp
Correct Score 1-0 69% 11% 10.00 William Hill 4.7% +6.3 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Eastleigh 1.58 – 0.80 Boston United · expected total 2.39

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Eastleigh

Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1364

Boston United

Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1430

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Eastleigh

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Boston United

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Eastleigh at home · Boston United away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Eastleigh (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–1L
W 3
D 3
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Boston United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Eastleigh (home)Boston United (away)
W 3
D 3
L 1
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
11%
2–0
9.5%
2–1
7.6%
3–0
5%
3–1
4%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Boston United 0 wins · 1 draw · Eastleigh 3 wins · avg 2.5 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4

1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Jan 2026 Boston United 1–2 Eastleigh National League
23 Aug 2025 Eastleigh 2–0 Boston United National League
22 Feb 2025 Boston United 1–2 Eastleigh National League
26 Oct 2024 Eastleigh 1–1 Boston United National League

📈 Recent Form

Eastleigh

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 AFC Hornchurch Away 0–2 L
03/10 Woking Home 1–3 L
30/09 Southend Home 1–1 D
26/09 Harrogate Town Away 1–4 L
19/09 Carlisle Home 1–0 W

Boston United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Southend Home 1–2 L
03/10 Yeovil Town Away 0–6 L
29/09 FC Halifax Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 AFC Fylde Home 0–1 L
19/09 Forest Green Away 3–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Eastleigh #17 · 15 pts —  Boston United #21 · 12 pts

Eastleigh

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–6L
W 4
D 3
L 6
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards21
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Boston United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–7L
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards29
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2
EastleighBoston United
W 4
D 3
L 6
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.80
Clean sheets
2
2
Failed to score
2
3
Yellow cards
21
29
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
1/2

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Eastleigh

2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
3
5
61-75
1
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Boston United

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
6
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws