Predictions β†’ England National League

Boston United vs Gateshead

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ Round 15 β€’ Jakemans Community Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 86% 62.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 79% 82.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 82% 50.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 72% 12.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Boston United 1.62 – 0.68 Gateshead Β· expected total 2.30

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Boston United

Form (last 5)
LSouthend (H) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026LYeovil Town (A) 0–6 Β· 03/10/2026DFC Halifax Town (A) 1–1 Β· 29/09/2026LAFC Fylde (H) 0–1 Β· 26/09/2026WForest Green (A) 3–1 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.80
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1430

Gateshead

Form (last 5)
LFC Halifax Town (A) 1–4 Β· 10/10/2026LWorthing (H) 1–2 Β· 03/10/2026LAltrincham (H) 0–1 Β· 29/09/2026LWealdstone (A) 0–4 Β· 26/09/2026LSouthend (H) 1–6 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1262
Boston UnitedGateshead
Goals scored (season avg)
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.80
2.40
Win streak (best this season)
2
1
Elo strength rating
1430
1262

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Boston United

Lost 2 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Gateshead

Lost 8 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League

Boston United

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Gateshead

Worst attack (0.60 goals/game) 2nd worst defence (2.40 conceded/game)

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Boston United at home Β· Gateshead away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Boston United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–5L
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.60
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Gateshead (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–7L
L 7
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.40
Goals conceded (avg)2.90
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Boston United (home)Gateshead (away)
W 1
D 1
L 5
L 7
Played
7
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.60
2.90
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
4

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
12.6%
2–0
10.9%
2–1
7.4%
3–0
5.9%
3–1
4%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Boston United 4 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Gateshead 4 wins Β· avg 3 goals Β· BTTS in 5 of 8

4
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 Feb 2026 Boston United 1–0 Gateshead National League
04 Oct 2025 Gateshead 1–3 Boston United National League
26 Apr 2025 Boston United 2–1 Gateshead National League
04 Jan 2025 Gateshead 1–3 Boston United FA Trophy
24 Sep 2024 Gateshead 2–0 Boston United National League
19 Mar 2022 Boston United 1–2 Gateshead National League - North
09 Oct 2021 Gateshead 3–1 Boston United National League - North
25 Feb 2020 Boston United 0–3 Gateshead National League - North

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Boston United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Southend Home 1–2 L
03/10 Yeovil Town Away 0–6 L
29/09 FC Halifax Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 AFC Fylde Home 0–1 L
19/09 Forest Green Away 3–1 W

Gateshead

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 FC Halifax Town Away 1–4 L
03/10 Worthing Home 1–2 L
29/09 Altrincham Home 0–1 L
26/09 Wealdstone Away 0–4 L
19/09 Southend Home 1–6 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League

Boston United #21 Β· 12 pts β€”  Gateshead #24 Β· 4 pts

Boston United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–7L
W 3
D 3
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3
Yellow cards29
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

Gateshead

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–11L
W 1
D 1
L 11
Played13
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards27
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Boston UnitedGateshead
W 3
D 3
L 7
W 1
D 1
L 11
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
2.40
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
3
6
Yellow cards
29
27
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/2
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Boston United

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
6
76-90
scored conceded

Gateshead

4
0-15
5
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
8
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws