Predictions → England National League

Solihull Moors vs Carlisle

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Damson Park

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 59% 26.9% — — — —
Double Chance X2 66% 64.9% — — — —
BTTS Yes 82% 51.7% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78% 43.8% — — — —
Correct Score 1-1 68% 10.2% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Solihull Moors 1.38 – 1.56 Carlisle · expected total 2.94

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Solihull Moors

Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.70
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1375

Carlisle

Goals scored (season avg)1.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1662

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Solihull Moors

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Carlisle

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League

Solihull Moors

Worst defence (2.70 conceded/game) Best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Carlisle

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Solihull Moors at home · Carlisle away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Solihull Moors (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–6L
W 1
L 6
Played7
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3

Carlisle (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Solihull Moors (home)Carlisle (away)
W 1
L 6
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
3
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
10.2%
0–0
5.2%
2–2
5%
3–3
1.2%
4–4
0.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Carlisle 0 wins · 2 draws · Solihull Moors 0 wins · avg 4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
17 Jan 2026 Solihull Moors 3–3 Carlisle National League
19 Aug 2025 Carlisle 1–1 Solihull Moors National League

📈 Recent Form

Solihull Moors

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Worthing Away 0–5 L
06/10 Newcastle United U21 Home 2–1 W
03/10 FC Halifax Town Home 0–2 L
29/09 Woking Away 4–2 W
26/09 Boreham Wood Home 0–3 L

Carlisle

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Kidderminster Harriers Home 0–0 D
03/10 Aldershot Town Away 3–1 W
29/09 AFC Fylde Away 2–0 W
26/09 Woking Home 2–5 L
19/09 Eastleigh Away 0–1 L

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Solihull Moors #23 · 7 pts —  Carlisle #14 · 17 pts

Solihull Moors

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–10L
W 2
D 1
L 10
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score4
Yellow cards23
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/2

Carlisle

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–5D–4L
W 4
D 5
L 4
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards23
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Solihull MoorsCarlisle
W 2
D 1
L 10
W 4
D 5
L 4
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded (avg)
2.70
1.50
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
23
23
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/2
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Solihull Moors

1
0-15
2
6
16-30
2
7
31-45
2
8
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
11
76-90
4
scored conceded

Carlisle

3
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
9
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws