Predictions → England National League

Gateshead vs Tamworth

Next match: Fri, 23 Oct 2026 • 18:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Gateshead International Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Away 1.85 → 1.8 ▼3% 81% 50% 1.80 BetVictor 54.9% -4.9 pp
Double Chance 12 69% 68.7% 1.22 William Hill 78.4% -9.7 pp
BTTS Yes 83% 52.3% 1.53 William Hill 61.1% -8.8 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 48.9% 1.54 BetVictor 61.1% -12.2 pp
Correct Score 1-2 62% 6.7% 8.00 William Hill 5.7% +1 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Gateshead 1.26 – 1.39 Tamworth · expected total 2.65

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Gateshead

Form (last 5)
LFC Halifax Town (A) 1–4 · 10/10/2026LWorthing (H) 1–2 · 03/10/2026LAltrincham (H) 0–1 · 29/09/2026LWealdstone (A) 0–4 · 26/09/2026LSouthend (H) 1–6 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1262

Tamworth

Form (last 5)
LBarrow (H) 1–2 · 10/10/2026WLeeds United U21 (H) 1–0 · 06/10/2026WHartlepool (A) 1–0 · 03/10/2026WSutton Utd (H) 2–0 · 30/09/2026LAldershot Town (A) 1–5 · 26/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)2.30
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1467
GatesheadTamworth
Goals scored (season avg)
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.40
2.30
Win streak (best this season)
1
2
Elo strength rating
1262
1467

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Gateshead

Lost 8 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Tamworth

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League

Gateshead

Worst attack (0.60 goals/game) 2nd worst defence (2.40 conceded/game)

Tamworth

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Gateshead at home · Tamworth away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Gateshead (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–4L
W 1
D 1
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Tamworth (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–5L
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Gateshead (home)Tamworth (away)
W 1
D 1
L 4
W 1
D 1
L 5
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
3.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–2
6.7%
0–1
6.7%
0–2
5.3%
1–3
3.1%
0–3
2.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Gateshead 3 wins · 1 draw · Tamworth 6 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

3
1
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Jan 2026 Tamworth 3–1 Gateshead National League
23 Aug 2025 Gateshead 2–1 Tamworth National League
22 Mar 2025 Gateshead 0–2 Tamworth National League
08 Oct 2024 Tamworth 2–1 Gateshead National League
05 Apr 2014 Gateshead 5–0 Tamworth National League
21 Sep 2013 Tamworth 0–1 Gateshead National League
02 Feb 2013 Tamworth 2–0 Gateshead National League
15 Sep 2012 Gateshead 0–2 Tamworth National League
24 Mar 2012 Tamworth 1–1 Gateshead National League
03 Dec 2011 Gateshead 1–2 Tamworth FA Cup

📈 Recent Form

Gateshead

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 FC Halifax Town Away 1–4 L
03/10 Worthing Home 1–2 L
29/09 Altrincham Home 0–1 L
26/09 Wealdstone Away 0–4 L
19/09 Southend Home 1–6 L

Tamworth

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Barrow Home 1–2 L
06/10 Leeds United U21 Home 1–0 W
03/10 Hartlepool Away 1–0 W
30/09 Sutton Utd Home 2–0 W
26/09 Aldershot Town Away 1–5 L

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Gateshead #24 · 4 pts —  Tamworth #18 · 14 pts

Gateshead

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–11L
W 1
D 1
L 11
Played13
Goals scored (avg)0.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score6
Yellow cards27
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Tamworth

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–7L
W 4
D 2
L 7
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards26
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
GatesheadTamworth
W 1
D 1
L 11
W 4
D 2
L 7
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.40
2.30
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
6
0
Yellow cards
27
26
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Gateshead

4
0-15
5
16-30
2
5
31-45
4
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
8
76-90
4
scored conceded

Tamworth

2
0-15
2
4
16-30
1
10
31-45
3
6
46-60
4
8
61-75
3
1
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws