Predictions → England National League

Harrogate Town vs Sutton Utd

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 11:30 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Exercise Stadium

PREDICTLIX BEST BET
Match Winner (1X2) — Home
Model 63.6% · Market best price ≈ 57.8% · Edge +7.3 pp
Best odds 1.73 William Hill 1.73Pinnacle 1.731xBet 1.69
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¼ Kelly sizing: 3.4% of bank

Snapshotted at publish: pick + best price. Prices move constantly — confirm at the bookmaker. 18+, gamble responsibly.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 86% 63.6% 1.73 William Hill 56.3% +7.3 pp
Double Chance 1X 81% 84.5% 1.20 Bet365 80.3% +4.2 pp
BTTS No 79% 45.3% 1.98 1xBet 47.6% -2.3 pp
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77% 41.4% 2.00 Bet365 48.5% -7.1 pp
Correct Score 2-0 65% 8.6% 8.50 Bet365 5.5% +3.1 pp

⚽ Model expected goals: Harrogate Town 2.29 – 0.91 Sutton Utd · expected total 3.21

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Harrogate Town

Form (last 5)
WWoking (A) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WAFC Hornchurch (H) 3–0 · 03/10/2026WHartlepool (A) 1–0 · 29/09/2026WEastleigh (H) 4–1 · 26/09/2026LBoreham Wood (A) 1–4 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.20
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1475

Sutton Utd

Form (last 5)
LBoreham Wood (H) 0–2 · 09/10/2026DKidderminster Harriers (A) 1–1 · 03/10/2026LTamworth (A) 0–2 · 30/09/2026DForest Green (H) 3–3 · 26/09/2026DFC Halifax Town (A) 1–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1336
Harrogate TownSutton Utd
Goals scored (season avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
1.40
Win streak (best this season)
3
4
Elo strength rating
1475
1336

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Harrogate Town

Won 4 in a row Unbeaten 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Sutton Utd

Winless 5
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League

Harrogate Town

2nd best clean sheets (4)

Sutton Utd

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Harrogate Town at home · Sutton Utd away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Harrogate Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–1L
W 5
D 1
L 1
Played7
Goals scored (avg)2.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Sutton Utd (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Harrogate Town (home)Sutton Utd (away)
W 5
D 1
L 1
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
7
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.90
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.20
Clean sheets
1
2
Failed to score
0
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
8.6%
2–1
7.8%
1–0
6.8%
3–0
6.6%
3–1
6%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Harrogate Town 2 wins · 1 draw · Sutton Utd 7 wins · avg 2.4 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10

2
1
7
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
13 Apr 2024 Harrogate Town 2–2 Sutton Utd League Two
30 Jan 2024 Sutton Utd 1–2 Harrogate Town League Two
28 Jan 2023 Harrogate Town 0–1 Sutton Utd League Two
03 Sep 2022 Sutton Utd 2–1 Harrogate Town League Two
07 May 2022 Harrogate Town 0–2 Sutton Utd League Two
25 Jan 2022 Sutton Utd 1–0 Harrogate Town EFL Trophy
18 Dec 2021 Sutton Utd 1–0 Harrogate Town League Two
30 Nov 2019 Sutton Utd 3–1 Harrogate Town National League
28 Sep 2019 Harrogate Town 2–0 Sutton Utd National League
05 Jan 2019 Sutton Utd 2–1 Harrogate Town National League

📈 Recent Form

Harrogate Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Woking Away 1–0 W
03/10 AFC Hornchurch Home 3–0 W
29/09 Hartlepool Away 1–0 W
26/09 Eastleigh Home 4–1 W
19/09 Boreham Wood Away 1–4 L

Sutton Utd

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Boreham Wood Home 0–2 L
03/10 Kidderminster Harriers Away 1–1 D
30/09 Tamworth Away 0–2 L
26/09 Forest Green Home 3–3 D
19/09 FC Halifax Town Away 1–1 D

📊 Season Comparison — National League

Harrogate Town #2 · 28 pts —  Sutton Utd #13 · 18 pts

Harrogate Town

Wins–Draws–Losses9W–1D–3L
W 9
D 1
L 3
Played13
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets4
Failed to score0
Yellow cards22
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

Sutton Utd

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–5L
W 5
D 3
L 5
Played13
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score5
Yellow cards30
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1
Harrogate TownSutton Utd
W 9
D 1
L 3
W 5
D 3
L 5
Played
13
13
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.40
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
0
5
Yellow cards
22
30
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Harrogate Town

1
0-15
4
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
6
2
46-60
7
2
61-75
2
5
76-90
8
scored conceded

Sutton Utd

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
3
76-90
7
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws